Week 6 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Colts QB Carson Wentz 

Home matchup with a Texans defense that struggles to rush the passer.  Wentz has only 1 interception and 2 fumbles through 5 games so far this season. 

Bears RB Khalil Herbert

Played 52% of the offensive snaps last week. With Damien Willams out, Herbert should see more of the workload.  Herbert is a standard league flex play. 

Giants WR Kadarius Toney

Provides a different dimension to the Giants offense than the other wide receivers on the roster. OC Jason Garrett should look for ways to have Toney more involved in the game plan vs. the Rams. 16 catches combined in his last 2 games. 

Patriots TE Hunter Henry

Fall Guy Stuntman Association is dealing with injuries at the TE position right now with Goedert and Hockenson so Henry was picked up.  The big free agent signing has scored a TD in consecutive contests and Mac Jones is targeting him in the red zone. 

Browns K Chase McLaughlin

The Cardinals defense is tough and may stall out Cleveland drives. 

Colts Defense

Davis Mills has a passer rating of 78 and looks like a player going through growing pains. 

IDP

Raiders LB Denzel Perryman 

Contributing to the perpetuation of the greatness of the Raiders by leading the NFL in total tackles with 61 through 5 weeks.

Week 5 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins 

Bounces back at home vs. the Lions. Detroit has allowed an opponent’s passer rating of 116.4 through 4 games this season. 

Bears RB Damien Williams 

PPR flex play vs. the Raiders despite facing potential stacked boxes. 

Jaguars WR Marvin Jones Jr. 

Faces a Titans defense that has been extremely generous to opposing Wide Receivers.  The Titans are giving up an average of 13.5 yards-per-catch.   

Cowboys TE Dalton Schultz

Faces a Giants defense that has allowed at least 1 touchdown to an opposing Tight End in each game this season. Schultz has 3 in his last 2 games and 6 catches in 3 of 4 games played.    

Vikings K Greg Joseph

Home matchup vs. the Lions. 

Steelers Defense

Blitzburgh Bounces back at home vs. the Broncos. 

IDP 

Ravens DE Calais Campbell

Has yet to record a Sack this season, but has a great chance against the Colts beat up O-line.

Week 4 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Washington Football Team QB Taylor Heinicke 

Super flex worthy against the Falcons defense.  Heinicke can make plays with his legs to provide a serviceable day against a weaker defense.  

Panthers RB Chubba Hubbard

Top waiver claim this week should be an RB 2 until CMC returns. I’m playing Hubbard ahead of Chase Edmonds and James Robinson in one of my lineups this week.  

Rams WR Robert Woods

Due for a market correction as I anticipate Woods being more involved vs. the Cardinals. Stand by your man, and show the world you love him. 

Bills TE Dawson Knox

Scored a TD in consecutive games and gets a matchup with a Texans defense lacking talent across the board.  

Falcons K Younghoe Koo

I can see the Falcons stalling out drives short of the end zone vs. Washington. 

Dolphins Defense

The Dolphins have struggled defending the run, however the Colts offense is too beat up right now. 

IDP

Chargers LB Kyzir White

Kenneth Murray was carted off the field at practice on Saturday. White should have more opportunities to dazzle us with his play vs. the Raiders on Monday.

Week 3 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Giants QB Daniel Jones

Improved weapons have helped Jones look better so far this season.  Jones can contribute with the legs as well.  The Falcons have allowed a league worst 8 passing TD through 2 games.  I own Jones in a dynasty 2 QB league. 

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Costly fumble vs. the Ravens and not enough of a workload to start the season.  Edwards-Helaire has a softer matchup vs. the Chargers this week. The Chargers are giving up an average of  5.6 yards per carry.  Don’t get cute and keep him in your lineups this week. 

Cardinals WR Rondale Moore

Rookie from Purdue is one of the top waiver claims this week.  With a tantalizing matchup vs the Jaguars, Moore is a DFS stream.  I would not be concerned about A.J. Green or Christian Kirk cutting into his workload. 

Seahawks TE Gerald Everett

2 targets in each of the first 2 games, but I see him more involved vs. the Vikings.  The Vikings have allowed an opponent’s passer rating of 123.6 so far this season.  

Raiders K Daniel Carlson

Contributes to the perpetuation of greatness of the Raiders this week against the Dolphins.  

Broncos Defense

Home vs. Zach Wilson and the Jets.  Wilson has looked overmatched to start his career. Wilson’s case supports using a veteran stopgap to start the season.  I’m exploiting this matchup until Wilson improves. 

Cardinals LB Isaiah Simmons 

17 total tackles so far and matchup with a dysfunctional Jaguars offense.     

Week 2 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger

The Raiders do not have enough talent in the secondary to match up with the Steelers receivers. Big Ben is a DFS play. 

Colts RB Nyheim Hines

Should be heavily involved in the passing game Carson Wentz may have to get the ball out of his hands in a hurry against the Rams defense. Hines is a PPR flex play.

Saints WR Marquez Callaway

The Panthers gave up 5 pass plays over 20 yards in Week 1. Callaway will be more involved in Week 2. 

Packers TE Robert Tonyan

I see the Lions defense resembling an Oprah giveaway. You get a touchdown and you get a touchdown, and you get a touchdown. Rout on Monday Night. 

 Cowboys K Greg Zuerlein 

Should be busy vs. the Chargers improving defense.

Patriots Defense

I don’t see Zach Wilson lighting up Bill Belichick’s defense in his 2nd NFL start.

IDP

Rams Rover Jalen Ramsey

Ramsey plays a role like Charles Woodson did for the Packers. Ramsey provides big play scoring potential at the Defensive back spot. 

Week 1 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Panthers QB Sam Darnold

I’m not buying the revenge game narrative vs. the Jets. I am however buying that the Jets don’t have the back 7 to match up with the Panthers skill players. Darnold is a cheaper DFS stream.

Patriots RB Damien Harris 

Should be the main bellcow back in New England this season.  Efficient runner gets downhill quickly. I was surprised at his draft cost this season. Standard league flex play vs. the Dolphins.

Colts WR Michael Pittman

The de facto number 1 option for the Colts vs. the Seahawks. The Legion of Boom is gone. Now the defense is the Legion of chunk plays allowed through the air. 

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert

I can see Zach Ertz having a role in this game as well vs. the Falcons.  Atlanta’s defense gives up a lot of fantasy points.  My educated guess is Ertz was showcased in the preseason trying to drum up trade interest.  

Bills K Tyler Bass

Matchup with Pittsburgh should provide plenty of scoring opportunities.  

Rams Defense

I don’t see Andy Dalton and the Bears scoring much in LA.  The Justin Fields clock is starting to tick. 

IDP 

Washington Football Team LB Jamin Davis

Rookie was a thumper at Kentucky and that translates in the NFL. Davis should be free to roam behind a stellar Washington Defensive Line. 

Recapping a 10-Team PPR Snake Draft

This is a 10-team Full point PPR snake draft from the 9th pick.  Having to play 3 Wide Receivers instead of a flex option tends to sway my teams in league to be receiver heavy.  The site gave this one a B plus.  

1.(9)Stefon Diggs (Buf – WR)
2.(12)Nick Chubb (Cle – RB)
3.(29)Terry McLaurin (Was – WR)
4.(32)James Robinson (Jax – RB)
5.(49)Julio Jones (Ten – WR)
6.(52)T.J. Hockenson (Det – TE)
7.(69)Chase Edmonds (Ari – RB)
8.(72)Justin Herbert (LAC – QB)
9.(89)JuJu Smith-Schuster (Pit – WR)
10.(92)Dallas Goedert (Phi – TE)
11.(109)Jaylen Waddle (Mia – WR)
12.(112)Matthew Stafford (LAR – QB)
13.(129)Phillip Lindsay (Hou – RB)
14.(132)Tampa Bay (TB – DEF)
15.(149)Henry Ruggs III (LV – WR)
16.(152)Tyler Bass (Buf – K)
17.(169)Giovani Bernard (TB – RB)
18.(172)Deshaun Watson (Hou – QB)

Looking back at the draft I question if taking Diggs ahead of Travis Kelce was the correct move.  Nick Chubb being there in the 2nd round threw off my draft strategy a bit.  My plan was to reach up for Darren Waller at that point.  My other regret was taking Terry McLaurin ahead of Josh Allen. Justin Herbert with added receiver depth isn’t a bad consolation prize.  I like the overall depth and upside of this team.  Julio Jones looks hungry after a lost year in Atlanta and JuJu as a wide receiver 4 is stealing.  James Robinson and Chase Edmonds should be able to give me stable points through the air and ground each week.  I don’t see Robinson repeating last season, but ¾ of those totals is good to me.  Edmonds was selected ahead of Damien Harris.  James Conner doesn’t scare me as too much of a threat to Edmonds workload.  Goedert is insurance for Hockenson, but also can’t be used against me.  I focus on maintaining the advantage at the Tight End position in fantasy leagues.  It’s a way to keep an opponent’s scoring down.  Stafford hung around too long for this format.  Hopefully Stafford rots on my bench all year or gets traded for an upgrade.  Waddle was my first attempt at throwing a haymaker.  I loved him in the draft process and believe he pops off right away.  Ruggs III is too talented to have a repeat of his rookie season.  Ruggs III in the 15th round is a tremendous lottery ticket.  Lindsay and Bernard are PPR caliber flex plays.  If I had to pick one I’d go with Bernard right now.  Watson was a throw away pick to see if a trade happens or his league situation gets cleared up.  If he gets deactivated, I have a clear cut guy to use for early waiver wire pickups. I’m happy with this team and looking to defend my crown.        

Predraft Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa

Compared to Justin Herbert, Tua’s rookie season was a complete disaster.  The reality is Tua displayed good pocket awareness and made some good plays last year.  His inability to connect on passes down the field was surprising.  With a full offseason to focus on football instead of rehab, I can see Tua stepping forward at a discount to fantasy owners in year 2. 

Buccaneers RB Gio Bernard

Recruited to Tampa by Tom Brady and Bruce Arians.  Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones are not as effective in this offense in pass protection and catching passes out of the backfield.  Last season, Tom Brady’s completion percentage when targeting running backs was 26th in the NFL.  That’s one of the weirdest stats from 2020.  That ranking will change with Bernard in the offense.  I believe he will flirt with deep league flex play numbers in PPR formats.  

Raiders WR Henry Ruggs

The adjustment to the NFL was clearly not as smooth for Ruggs as many of his draft class contemporaries.  With the lack of competition in the receiving corps, Ruggs should be given every opportunity to succeed.  My selection of Ruggs was fast in the 17th round.  Speed kills 11 signs should be hanging in Las Vegas this season.   

Broncos TE Noah Fant 

Has ranked among the elite in his position in run after the catch yards. Teddy 2 Gloves is significantly more accurate than Drew Lock.  Fant getting hit in stride should be able to provide even more explosive plays.  

Bills K Tyler Bass

Was the 4th scoring kicker in football in 2020.  Bass also has a big leg making 4 of 6 from beyond 50 yards. The Bills offense should be explosive again in 2021 giving Bass plenty of scoring opportunities. 

Browns Defense

Their defense has a nice accumulation of early draft choices.  The Browns low sack rate should improve in 2021 with Jadeveon Clowney opposite of Myles Garrett.  John Johnson was added to the secondary along with Troy Hill.  With talent at all 3 levels Cleveland could be a popular early season pickup.  

IDP 

Browns LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

Drafted by Cleveland in the 2nd round will play a rover position in the Browns defense. Owusu-Koramoah was a vicious hitter with great range at Notre Dame, I anticipate him adding some thunder to the Cleveland defense.

Evaluating the Cubs Magic Beans

The great sell off of the 2021 Chicago Cubs is now complete.  Why it happened is not relevant at this point, we can’t change the past.  These are all of the prospects the Cubs acquired in the sell off.  Looking through the group it’s apparent the Cubs acquired more developmental players that are a few years away instead of major league ready players.   I was devastated that out of all the trades, Austin Martin was not part of any deal.  Martin is the 16th overall prospect out of the Top 100 from Toronto that ended up going to Minnesota in the Jose Berrios deal. I’d love to know if Kyle Hendricks could have gotten the same package from the Blue Jays. 

SS Reginald Preciado, SS Yeison Santana, OF Ismael Mena, OF Owen Caissie, 1B Bryce Ball, 1B/OF Greg Deichmann, RHP Daniel Palencia,  LHP Bailey Horn, RHP Alexander Vizcaino, OF Kevin Alcantara, 2B Nick Madrigal, RHP Codi Heuer, OF Alexander Canario, RHP Caleb Killian, OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, RHP Anderson Espinoza.  5 former or current All-Star players were sent away in the sell off and not a single player acquired is on the MLB Top 100 prospects list.  Madrigal and Heuer are the only major league ready players out of the group.  On the surface that doesn’t paint the Cubs front office in a good light.  

The reality is looking into these players, many of them haven’t even played Double A baseball.  I don’t think it’s fair to judge the Cubs front office yet as these were long-term moves.  A lot of faith is being put in the minor league developmental staff to get the most out of these players.  Nick Madrigal is a building block that should be the starting 2B in 2022.  Madrigal is a good contact hitter that gets on base and more importantly doesn’t strike out.  Greg Deichmann has a career .346 minor league OBP and should be a fast track player.  At age 26, why isn’t Deichmann already in the show?  Reginald Preciado is a Shortstop at the moment, but may physically be better suited for the Hot Corner.  Owen Caissie, Kevin Alcantara, and Alexander Canario profile to be power hitting corner outfielders. Pete Crow-Armstrong looks to be your center fielder/leadoff hitter of the future.      

Moving to the pitching prospects, Codi Heuer should have the opportunity to have a high leverage role in the Cub bullpen right away.  Bailey Horn is a power lefty that grades out the back-end of a starting rotation.  Caleb Killian is a college pitcher that grades out as a back-end starter.  Alexander Vizcaino is working as starter in the minors, but could transition to the bullpen if the command doesn’t develop.  Daniel Palencia is a young player that is multiple years away from being major league ready.  Anderson Espinoza is a smaller stature hurler with 2 Tommy John surgeries already on his resume.  

The Cubs will have a long way to go to get back respectability. LHP Brailyn Marquez and OF Brennan Davis are considered the Cubs top 2 prospects.  Both may be up in 2022.  Willson Contreras is in Chicago for now, but when Miguel Amaya is ready does Contreras get sent off for more prospects?  I can see 2022 and 2023 being developmental seasons with stop gap players filling out the major league roster until many of these players are ready for the show.  2024 may be when the Cubs start to show signs of being competitive. A lot can happen between now and then so we’ll see.

Michael Thomas Is Off My Draft Boards

Saints WR Michael Thomas is now off my draft boards.  Ankle surgery in June and has given Thomas a range of outcomes that could put him out as far as Week 8.  Some pre-draft rankings have Thomas still listed ahead of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Odell Beckham Jr, and Brandin Cooks.  There’s no chance I would consider drafting Thomas ahead of those 3 players.  JuJu caught 97 balls last year, Odell is not on the PUP list as training camps are taking place, and Cooks is the WR1 on a horrible Texans team.  Those 3 players will help me to start the season, while Thomas will not.  

One of the many things I’ve learned from playing fantasy sports is that injured players on your bench do not help you win games.  More bad comes than good from stashing injured players on your bench right away.  Many leagues I play in do not have IR spots, in leagues with IR spots you will end up using those soon enough.  Why burn a spot before the season starts? For example, in a fantasy baseball keeper league my friend Dave pissed away draft capital and a roster spot keeping Noah Syndergaard on the IL all season.  He whines about having all injured guys and had to cut some good players in the process.  Syndergaard has not helped him win a game this year.  

Compromising roster flexibility on a player that can’t help you win this week is a recipe for failure.  Late morning Covid deactivations is also another variable to take into account when considering stashing an injured player.  There are so many good players still available where Michael Thomas may be drafted it’s not worth the risk.  Thomas scares me not only because of the ankle injury, but also because of the alleged friction with the New Orleans front office.  I know Thomas has put together video game numbers when healthy, but in fantasy football you can’t live in the past, it’s not 2019 anymore.  Pass on Michael Thomas this year in drafts, let someone else have the headache of trying to work around a wasted roster spot.