Monthly Archives: January 2014

Deng Trade Has Potential Ripple Down Effects For Mike Dunleavy and Kirk Hinrich

The Chicago Bulls are a team in transition with the first domino dropping as Luol Deng gets moved the Cavaliers for the right to release Andrew Bynum and draft choices. The Bulls probably aren’t done talking trades as Mike Dunleavy and Kirk Hinrich are strong possibilities to get moved before the February 20th trade deadline. Expect to see Tony Snell to take over Dunleavy’s minutes and D.J. Augustin to see plenty of playing time when Hinrich gets traded.

Dunleavy may see more of the playing time with Deng’s departure as a trade showcase. His contract is worth roughly $3.3 million dollars next season. Teams looking for a cost effective veteran perimeter scorer could be interested in Dunleavy. His True Shooting Percentage of .569 and Player Efficiency Rating 13.7 could certainly help contending teams. Dunleavy is an asset on a tanking team that could net more cap relief, a 2nd rd pick, or maybe an inexpensive young player in return.

Owners should track Snell for the near future as his role after the trade is yet o be determined. Snell struggles with shot selection and is just finding his bearings at the NBA level. Snell does bring effort on the defensive end and could help fantasy owners looking for defensive stats. The effort on the defensive end should lead to more playing time down the road this season.

The Bulls would be best suited to move Hinrich as soon as possible before his body breaks down yet again. Hinrich’s offensive win share of -0.1, True Shooting Percentage of .459, and Player Efficiency Rating of 9.3 are unacceptable for a team that is in the process of rebuilding. Hinrich is under contract this season for $4.059 million dollars. The Bulls could save more money and acquire maybe a 2nd rd pick or inexpensive young player in return. What Hinrich does bring to the table at this point is a 1.2 Defensive Win Share and veteran presence. The 33-year-old combo guard could help contending teams off the bench in a capacity of around 20 minutes-per-game.

Fantasy owners should look to add D.J. Augustin as a bench stash at this stage of the season. Augustin is averaging 12.3 points, 7.2 assists,and 1.7 steals per 36 minutes. The .541 True Shooting Percentage and 13.3 Player Efficiency Rating give Augustin a leg up on Marquis Teague for more playing time. It will be painstaking for Coach Tom Thibodeau to watch Augustin on the defensive end. Augustin is a player that could end up being more valuable in fantasy basketball instead of real basketball.

Rickie Weeks, Adam Dunn, and Gordon Beckham Could Use New Homes

The Hot Stove season has cooled off as many of the high profile free agents have signed. Clubs that missed out in free agency can look to the trade market to make changes. This post will outlay a hypothetical 3-team trade that in my opinion would be beneficial for all parties involved.

The White Sox would like to move Adam Dunn’s massive $15 million dollar salary to save money. Dunn’s OBP in 3 seasons with the White Sox .292, .333, and .320 is too close to his weight 285 lbs. Dunn just hasn’t been able to make the adjustment to being a full-time DH. The White Sox signed Jose Abreu to a 6-year $68 million dollar deal this offseason to play 1B. Paul Konerko was brought back on a 1-year deal worth $2.5 million dollars for a farewell tour. The White Sox are a club in transition that needs to move on from veterans and rebuild with youth. Jake Peavy, Matt Thornton, and Alex Rios were sent packing last summer for prospects and salary relief. Moving Dunn for salary relief and possibly a low-level prospect at this stage of his career would be a positive development.  Dunn isn’t worth a package of blue-chip prospects at this point.

Clearing up the DH spot would allow the White Sox to move Dayan Viciedo to DH. “The Tank” has graded out as a below average left fielder in his young career. Viciedo has a -2.4 defensive win share for his career. The advanced fielding stats for last season aren’t pretty. The Range Factor per game (1.46 with the league average of 2.23 per game) and Fielding percentage (.970 with a league average of .987) don’t help the pitchers.

The Brewers have Rickie Weeks $11.5 million dollar salary on the books for 2014. There’s a club option that can be voided if Weeks doesn’t have 600 plate appearances in 2014 or 1,200 combined in 2013-14. Scooter Gennett batted .324 with a .356 OBP last season with the Brewers. Gennett has earned the 2B job going into spring training. Weeks is essentially the elephant in the room at this stage of his career. A change of scenery may be the best course of action for Weeks.  GM Doug Melvin has failed to land a 1B as Corey Hart signed with the Mariners and Logan Morrison was traded to the Mariners.  The Brewers have also been linked to the Mets Ike Davis.  Hunter Morris is the top 1B prospect in the organization, but struggled in Triple-A last season. The 24 HR was good but, the .310 OBP leaves something to be desired.

The Brewers and White Sox both could benefit from a Weeks-Dunn swap. The White Sox would save $3.5 million dollars on the deal. Last season the Brewers 1B were the least productive in all of baseball with a .629 OPS.  Dunn’s career .934 OPS at Miller Park in 288 plate appearances may be worth the risk. Acquiring Weeks could trigger another domino.

The White Sox may also best be suited to explore options for 2B Gordon Beckham as well. The 8th overall pick in the 2008 draft hasn’t cut the mustard in his time with the White Sox. 2014 is his first year of arbitration eligibility and free agency comes in 2016. With an offensive win share of 1.1, 1.4, and 1.1 the last 3 seasons, the White Sox should be considering options to move on from Beckham. Marcus Semien and Micah Johnson are in the pipeline and could be ready to play in the majors in the near future. The White Sox have position players in their farm system, but lack quality pitching prospects.

The Blue Jays have shown interest in Beckham in the past and have a depth of arms in their farm system. The Blue Jays probably won’t move Aaron Sanchez, Roberto Osuna, or Marcus Stroman for anything outside of a top flight player. Lefties Daniel Norris and Sean Nolin could possibly be had for the right price. Upgrading 2B should be a priority for the Blue Jays as they ranked last in all of baseball with a .556 OPS at the position in 2013. Beckham would be a cost effective upgrade over Maicer Izturis and Ryan Goins.

All parties involved would improve with this 3-team deal as the White Sox can shed salary and add prospects. The Brewers and Blue Jays would acquire players at positions of weakness to help them try to win this season. Feel free to post any comments.