Monthly Archives: March 2017

Draft Recap 12-team Daily Categories

 

1. (9) Manny Machado (Bal – 3B,SS)
2. (16) Francisco Lindor (Cle – SS)
3. (33) Freddie Freeman (Atl – 1B)
4. (40) Rougned Odor (Tex – 2B)
5. (57) Christian Yelich (Mia – OF)
6. (64) Wil Myers (SD – 1B,OF)
7. (81) Adam Jones (Bal – OF)
8. (88) Cole Hamels (Tex – SP)
9. (105) Willson Contreras (ChC – C,OF)
10. (112) Danny Duffy (KC – SP,RP)
11. (129) Addison Russell (ChC – SS)
12. (136) Jake Odorizzi (TB – SP)
13. (153) Francisco Rodríguez (Det – RP)
14. (160) David Robertson (CWS – RP)
15. (177) Sean Manaea (Oak – SP)
16. (184) José Peraza (Cin – 2B,SS,OF)
17. (201) Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD – SP)
18. (208) Matt Moore (SF – SP)
19. (225) Sonny Gray (Oak – SP)
20. (232) Héctor Rondón (ChC – RP)
21. (249) Brandon Drury (Ari – 2B,3B,OF)

Draft Recap 12-team Keeper League

FALL GUY STUNTMAN ASOC.
1 Miguel Cabrera, Det 1B  K $39
13 Robinson Cano, Sea 2B  K $35
25 Adam Jones, Bal OF  K $24
37 Roberto Osuna, Tor RP  K $2
49 Michael Fulmer, Det SP  K $2
108 Yoenis Cespedes, NYM OF $13
115 Addison Russell, ChC SS $14
146 Ryon Healy, Oak 3B $2
148 Zack Greinke, Ari SP $9
153 Mike Napoli, Tex 1B $6
173 Jake Odorizzi, TB SP $5
175 Tanner Roark, Wsh SP $8
213 Aledmys Diaz, StL SS $5
223 Evan Gattis, Hou C $5
237 Jose Peraza, Cin SS $6
241 Brandon Drury, Ari 3B $3
242 Hunter Pence, SF OF $2
252 Jason Heyward, ChC OF $1
262 Vince Velasquez, Phi SP $3
263 Koda Glover, Wsh RP $1
270 Greg Holland, Col RP $8
273 Dylan Bundy, Bal SP $1
281 Daniel Hudson, Pit RP $1
289 Jharel Cotton, Oak SP $1
297 Pablo Sandoval, Bos 3B $1
302 Tyler Glasnow, Pit SP $1
307 Fernando Rodney, Ari RP $1

American League Fliers

Orioles Kevin Gausman  Breakout in 2nd half is worth reaching for a bit in upcoming drafts.

Red Sox 3B Pablo Sandoval  Resumed switch hitting, and looks to be in better shape coming into 2017. Kung fu panda will never be confused with Billy Blanks in terms of physical fitness. Young enough that it’s not out of the realm of possibility that he bounces back.

White Sox OF Avisail Garcia  Having a good spring so far, should pencil in as White Sox everyday RF. Post hype sleeper could be a late round lottery ticket.

Indians SP Carlos Carrasco This past season, he posted a 3.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 150/34 K/BB ratio across 146 1/3 innings (25 starts). If he can stay healthy, he offers fantasy upside galore.

Tigers OF Justin Upton  Tied a career high 31 ding dongs despite down year. 5 straight seasons of declining OBP’s with last years bottoming out at .310 OBP. Upton should slide in drafts but not too far. He’s still young enough to adjust.

Astros 3B/1B Yulieski Gurriel  Cuban hitter got his feet wet last season with Astros. Move to 1B full time gives him dual position eligibility. Solid all around hitter.

Royals OF Jorge Soler  25 yr old was never able to put it together in Chicago. A change of scenery and regular playing time could be just what the doctor ordered. Kaufman stadium may run on Soler Power at times this season.

Angels 2B Danny Espinosa  20 plus bombs with 2B/SS eligibility makes Espinosa worth a late pick for those looking for power.

Twins 1B Joe Mauer  Production at this stage doesn’t match the contract as Mauer is one of the most overpaid players in all of baseball. However that shouldn’t matter to fantasy owners. A .363 OBP can be used by all fantasy owners.

Yankees DH Matt Holliday  With OF/1B eligibility Batman will hold more value due to his multiple position eligibility. The plan is for Holliday to serve as the Yankees DH. The time off the field may help Holliday to stay fresh for a full season.

Athletics SP Jharel Cotton  Pitched well late last season after coming over in trade from the Dodgers. Cotton has the stuff to pitch anywhere, but pitching half of his games in Oakland is an added bonus.

Mariners SP Felix Hernandez  Stock is sliding with fantasy owners as his velocity goes down. King Felix knows how to pitch and while maybe no longer a 1st rd pick at some point will be a value pick.

Rays SP Jake Odorizzi  Peripherals last season were terrific, pitched well enough to certainly win more games. On a good club would have won more than 10 games.

Rangers LF Jurickson Profar  Durability has cut short Profar’s career to date. Multiple position eligibility with the hope that he’s finally health may be worth the risk. Remember Profar is only 24 years old.

Blue Jays SP Francisco Liriano  I believe Liriano bounces back pitching in meaningful games in Toronto. Worth a late pick to fill out your rotation.

National League Fliers

Diamondbacks SP Shelby Miller  I highly doubt Miller repeats his 2016 performance of 3-12. Worth a late flier to fill out rotation.

Braves RP Jim Johnson  Bad Clubs win close games. Johnson signed a 2 yr deal for $10 million dollars should be able to provide cheap saves.

Cubs OF Jason Heyward  Looked like he was swinging a hollow bat last season. Played better in the World Series. Come Back Player of the Year for 2017. You’ll see the production the Cubs expected this year. If Heyward slides too far, go up and pounce.

Reds 2B Jose Peraza  Finally gets to have the 2B job to himself with the Brandon Phillips in Atlanta. Peraza is a late round flier that provides speed.

Rockies RP Greg Holland  Velocity looks to have returned in spring training. Holland was a stud before Tommy John and is young enough to be one again. Could provide cheap saves.

Dodgers OF Yasiel Puig  At 26, its time to shit or get off the pot for Puig. Getting demoted and almost traded is multiple slices of humble pie. If he doesn’t get it now, probably never will.

Marlins OF Marcel Ozuna  23 ding-dongs in 2 of the last 3 seasons. Solid choice as an OF 3.

Brewers RP Neftali Feliz  1.14 WHIP last season in 62 games with Pirates. Brew Crew pitchers saved 46 of 69 games last season. Feliz should be a cheap late round flier for those that hold off spending big on Saves.

Mets 3B/SS Jose Reyes  I wouldn’t bet on David Wright leading the club in starts at the hot corner. Reyes with multiple position eligibility will be valuable in daily formats.

Phillies 1B Tommy Joseph  Hit 21 ding dongs last year, possibly hit more in full-time role. Playing everyday should help Joseph provide higher numbers.

Pirates RF Andrew McCutchen  There are a lot of players that would like to have McCutchen’s down season of 2016. Draft slot will slide, but don’t let him fall to far. Never underestimated a pissed off superstar with something to prove.

Padres OF Hunter Renfroe  Should see a lot of at-bats in the heart of the order this season. My pick for Rookie of the Year.

Giants SP Matt Moore  Pitchers park will help Moore keep the ball in the park a bit more. Pitching coach Dave Righetti is one of my favorites. If anyone can get the best out of Moore, it’s Righetti. Making Moore worth the selection.

Cardinals 3B Jedd Gyorko  Hit 30 Bombs last season in a utility role. The OBP was low but Gyorko flashed the power the Padres expected when he was signed to an extension.

Nationals RP Koda Glover Power arm has seen more late inning work this spring. My bet to win the closer’s job in DC.

My Keepers for a 5×5 Categories League

These are my keepers for a 10-team 5×5 daily categories league.  The auction budget is $260 with 23 total roster spots 5 of which are bench spots.  The 7 keepers eat up $122 dollars of budget giving me $ 138 dollars to spend on 16 players. These are the 7 players I’m keeping based off their costs and what I perceive as upside.  WHIP, K, Speed, and Batting Avg are the categories to build around.

($36) for Madison Bumgarner is a little more than I wanted to spend, but I figured his draft cost would be close to that anyways in this league. Bumgarner is the most expensive starting pitcher kept in the league.  Bumgarner has 6 straight seasons of 190 plus K including 251 last season. The career high of 226.2 innings doesn’t both me too much. If I’m going to spend a lot on a pitcher it’s going to be Mad Bum.  ($20) Gerrit Cole is a value in my opinion since I believe he will bounce back this season. I’m willing to gamble that the 2015 Cole with 19 wins, 202 K, and 1.09 WHIP returns.  ($19) Carlos Martinez putting together a Cy Young caliber season is my prediction. At age 25 Martinez should continue to come into his own.  The 1.22 WHIP could drop into the 1.10’s this year.  ($11) Carlos Carrasco had a 9.2 SO/9 and a 1.148 WHIP last season. Carrasco has dominating stuff and pitches for the defending AL Champions. I doubt I could get Carrasco at that price if he was part of the draft.

Hitters I’ve decided to keep are based off value, versatility, and speed.  ($16) JD Martinez would be unrealistic in a redraft scenario at that price. Martinez has been a different player since coming to Detroit. I expect the high OBP and power numbers to continue. ($11) Ian Desmond will provide 1B/OF eligibility while playing in the launching pad that is Colorado. 20 plus steals along with more expected power numbers playing in Colorado is worth the cost. Steals from the 1B position are tough to find.  Only 3 1B eligible players had double digit steals last year. (Goldschmidt 32, Myers 28, Gonzalez 12).  My biggest gamble is ($14) Billy Hamilton. Is the 41-point jump in OBP from 2015 to 2016 a sign of progression? The 2nd half numbers of a .293 avg and .369 OBP have me willing to gamble that Hamilton may have turned the corner.

The keeper costs are too expensive for ($27) Wade Davis, ($25) Craig Kimbrel, ($24) Adam Wainwright, ($20) Zach Britton, ($20) Mark Melancon, (12) Marcus Stroman, and ($9) Tony Watson.  Hitters I’ve deemed too expensive are ($26) Jonathan Lucroy, ($24) Todd Frazier, ($16) Evan Longoria, ($16) Adrian Gonzalez, ($16) Jason Kipnis, ($14) Byron Buxton, ($6) Brad Miller.

Since I can’t attend this draft due to work, I’ve instructed my friend on which players to target.  My rotation features younger power arms with high strikeout rates and low WHIP’s. My strategy this year is to watch my team WHIP like a hawk.  Kyle Hendricks will be a priority add to this roster.  A late auction flier will be Jharel Cotton. The league as a whole didn’t keep too many closers so filling out the bullpen is possible without going nuts on costs.

Pairing Starling Marte with Hamilton would give me 2 elite speed options. Dee Gordon is another elite speed option to pair with Hamilton if Marte’s cost is ridiculous. Odubel Herrera will be a fall back option depending on costs.  Doubling down on elite speed is important. All of the big name power hitters were put back into the player pool due to high keeper costs. Filling out the roster with power hitters and multiple position eligibility is the goal.  Feel free to comment on my keepers or lack there of.

I Would Move On From Lacy

The Packers running game has been hindered the last 2 seasons with the inability of Eddie Lacy to stay healthy or in-shape.  The Packers as a team ran for 106.3 yards per game with a 4.5 avg on 374 attempts for 1,701 yards and 11 TD.  The Packers had 13 runs of over 20 yards with 2 over 40 yards.

The Packers have one of the top 3 QB in the NFL still in his prime. Without Aaron Rodgers last year’s squad doesn’t come remotely close to playing in the NFC Conference Championship. That team should be proud of how far they went. So much pressure is put on Rodgers for the Packers to win a game. More production from the running game in short yardage and goal-line should be one of the top priorities of Ted Thompson and Co. this offseason.  Too many 3rd and short plays end with Rodgers chucking the ball downfield for an incompletion. Green Bay often blows leads because they can’t run the ball to salt away games. The Packers are built around the passing game so pass protection is crucial to playing time for running backs.

Ty Montgomery led the team in rushing with 457 yards a 5.9 ypc and 3 TD. Eddie Lacy carried 71 times for 360 yards for a 5.1 ypc and 0 TD. Aaron Rodgers led the team in rushing TD with 4. Montgomery looked explosive after finally making the position switch to Running Back. Durability concerns for me keep Montgomery as a back that should play a significant part of a rotation instead of a bell cow role.

Lacy the last 2 seasons has disappeared in games with an inconsistent workload. The YPC is manipulated with a lack of carries. Lacy has scored 3 TD in the last 2 seasons and consistently been inconsistent. The ankle surgery was more complicated than originally reported as Lacy revealed. Multiple screws, wires, and a plate were added to his ankle to help with a deltoid ligament injury.  Reportedly Lacy should be ready to go by training camp.

Odds are Lacy will be back in Green Bay on a cheap 1-yr prove it deal. I would look to move on from Lacy completely. Spend that money on your defense or to help keep an offensive lineman. Playing in the NFL is a privilege and Lacy has proven to be out of shape each of the last 2 seasons. As an organization why settle? Your championship window is still open. I’ve dismissed Christine Michael as a contributing NFL Running Back at this stage of his career.

A high priced free agent running back would take away money from filling another need. Adrian Peterson and Latavius Murray may be out of Ted Thompson’s price range.  AP would have to come cheap to play in Green Bay while Murray is looking to break the bank.  A lower cost free agent paired with a mid- to late round pick would be the route I would pursue. Rashad Jennings looks finished, but if there is one veteran running back that I would pursue if released.  The Cowboys are reportedly trying to trade Alfred Morris for a late round pick. Morris doesn’t fit in as a backup to Zeke Elliott because of his inability to play in the passing game. Morris only rushed 69 times last season. With 3 seasons of 1,000 plus yards at age 28 I believe Morris can still play. Morris would give a different look next to Ty Montgomery and leave money to pursue other free agents.

This years draft provides potential backs to upgrade the position.  Young running backs often struggle in pass protection and blitz pickup, that’s where Montgomery comes into play.  LSU’s Leonard Fournette, FSU’s Dalvin Cook, and Christian McCaffrey of Stanford are regarded as the top 3 backs of a deep class.  The Packers may have to trade up quite a bit to get Fournette or Cook. The Packers have other holes and may fill a need on defense instead of drafting McCaffrey that early.

Oklahoma’s Joe Mixon will probably be off some teams draft boards due to character concerns. At some point in this upcoming draft Mixon’s talent will outweigh the character concerns based off the draft slot. I don’t believe the Packers would take a chance on Mixon.  There are a lot of running backs eligible in this draft, but these are the few that I believe would fit draft cost wise for the Packers.

Tennessee RB Alvin Kamara is an all-around back could that make the adjustment quickly to blitz pickup in the NFL.  Kamara is an explosive runner-receiver. The threat of the screen has been missing in Green Bay for years.  Kamara needs improvement in setting up blocks reading lanes. The 4.56 40 yard time doesn’t change my opinion of him. I value game film more so than combine statistics.  Special team’s contributions would help as the Packers returners averaged 19.7 yards per kickoff return and 9.0 yards per punt return. Squeezing out a few more short fields would help the offense.

Oklahoma RB Samaje Perine is a banger that could be paired with Ty Montgomery in short yardage or goal-line situations. Perine would be more of a check down or screen threat than Lacy.  Speed isn’t his game, it’s running thru defenders. Perine avoided workload concerns by splitting time with Mixon in college.

Tarik Cohen of North Carolina A&T is one of the players I plan to follow closely this draft. Cohen is nicknamed “The Human Joystick.”  You can’t teach a player that type of footwork.  I believe many of the knocks on Cohen can be corrected with proper coaching. Lack of special teams experience may also hurt his draft stock.  I’m willing to gamble on coaching up Cohen.

There are plenty of options out there at Running Back if the Packers decide to move on from Eddie Lacy. Free agency and or the draft provide solid options. You now know where I stand on the issue.