Monthly Archives: December 2017

Week 11 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Warriors PF/C Jordan Bell

4 game slate all at home with the Cavs, Jazz, Hornets, and Grizzlies.  Over the last 7 days, Bell has averaged 24.3 MPG, 9.3 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 2.0 BPG.  10 rebounds in back to back contests. Daily categories leagues should look to Bell as a streamer that will help across the board.  Bell is owned in just 12.5% of ESPN leagues.

 

Wolves SG Jamal Crawford

Former Sixth Man of the Year is heating up in Minnesota. Crawford has scored in double figures in 3 straight games. 4-games this week on the road with the Lakers, home vs. the Nuggets, back on the road with the Bucks and Pacers. Owned in just 5.5% of ESPN leagues.

 

Blazers SF Maurice Harkless

Just a 2-game slate this week home with the 76ers then to the road vs. the Hawks. Harkless has returned with 2 blocks in each of the last 2 games. Daily fantasy players may want to stream Harkless this week. His outlook long term is tough to predict because of the Blazers constant tinkering with the rotation.  Owned in just 1.6% of ESPN leagues.  

Stashing For Next Year

The end of the fantasy football season shouldn’t mean the end of filling out your roster for keeper league players. Owners should always be looking to improve their situation.  Grabbing lottery tickets for next season is one way to do just that.  

At the end of the 2010 season I decided to flush deadweight on the roster and picked up Saints TE Jimmy Graham. As a rookie Graham caught 31 balls and had 5 TD. I figured in the Saints high powered offense Graham could do some damage in 2011.  I was correct in that estimation to the tune of 99 catches 1310 yards, and 11 TD.  All because I grabbed a lottery ticket before the season ended. The end of the 2012, I grabbed a lottery ticket in Browns TE Jordan Cameron. In 2 seasons he had just 22 catches.  Following reports on the club, Cameron was projected to be a focal point of their scheme in 2013.  I was correct again as Cameron had a career season 80 catches 917 yards and 7 TD.  Those are my 2 biggest success stories in grabbing end of the season lottery tickets. I have missed on more than actually got correct.   Point being it only increases your chances of improving your roster for the next season.  If that lottery ticket busts, so what you didn’t lose anything anyways.  Opportunity is the key in rostering these players thru the offseason.    

Seahawks RB Chris Carson was the best looking running back in Seattle in preseason and the regular season in 2017.  The Seahawks looked to insert Carson as the bell cow, unfortunately it lasted just 4 games due to a season ending ankle injury.  Mike Davis, JD McKissic, Thomas Rawls, Eddie Lacy, and C.J. Prosise didn’t pose a threat to take the job away.  Davis was added off the practice squad later in the season and hasn’t done much to impress.  McKissic is a gadget player. Rawls and Prosise can’t stay healthy. Whatever burst Lacy had looks to have left. If Seattle doesn’t add a big name in the offseason, Carson should have a good shot at being a bell cow in 2018.  

49ers RB Carlos Hyde hasn’t relinquished the lead job to Matt Breida as many fantasy analysts predicted this season.  Hyde is a free agent this offseason and could leave the Bay Area.  Matt Breida and Joe Williams would have a chance at a lead job. Williams was placed on IR with an ankle injury in training camp.  The 49ers offense looks pretty good with Garoppolo at the helm.  Fantasy points from the 49ers top running back will be commodity in 2018.  I’m going to burn roster spots on my dumpster fire of a roster to find out.

Bears General Manager got killed in the media for trading up one spot to draft QB Mitch Trubisky, but drafting TE Adam Shaheen with the 45th pick was also a head scratcher.  Shaheen was a walk-on at Division II Ashland University after playing basketball at the University of Pittsburgh at Johnstown.  26 Touchdowns later Shaheen decided to forgo his senior season.  Shaheen’s learning curve was apparent during his rookie season.  The Bears are completely devoid of weapons in the receiving corps.  3 of his 12 catches in 2017 have gone for Touchdowns.  I’ll gladly burn a roster spot to see if Shaheen takes a step forward in 2018.    

The Cardinals drafted a receiver in the 3rd round that didn’t make much of an impact in 2017.  Talent, coaching and opportunity could change things in 2018.  Chad Williams has 3 catches for 31 yards in 6 games played at the time of this post.  This Grambling State product hasn’t been able to beat out Jaron Brown, John Brown, or JJ Nelson to make much of an impact.  Larry Fitzgerald’s status for 2018 is yet to be determined. If Fitzgerald does return, Williams is a higher ceiling player than anyone else in the receiving corps. Downgrades on Williams were off the field issues in college and playing in a smaller conference.   Williams has 4.3 speed and was a red zone threat with 21 touchdowns his last 2 seasons.  Bruce Arians is one of my favorite coaches in the NFL. I respect his football IQ and the path he had to take to get a head coaching job.   2017 was almost a red-shirt year for Williams getting acclimated to the NFL.  Spending a season with Fitzgerald also should have assisted with the learning curve.  With another offseason to work on his craft with Arians and possibly Fitzgerald, I believe Williams has a chance to make an impact in 2018.  

By the time I have to select keepers and draft in August of 2018, I’ll know if any of these lottery tickets are worth holding onto.  My recommendation would be to flush out dead weight on your keeper league rosters and grab some lottery tickets.       

Week 16 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Jaguars QB Blake Bortles

Played like Trash by throwing 7 TD combined in his last 3 games.  Jadaveon Clowney with quote of the year.  

 

Giants RB Wayne Gallman

13 catches combined in the last 2 weeks. Deep league PPR Flex vs. the Cardinals.

 

Patriots RB Mike Gillislee

Gets dusted off being inactive in the last 6 games. Facing former team wouldn’t surprise me if Hoody and McHoody don’t try to get Gillislee up to speed in case Burkhead can’t return for postseason.

 

Ravens WR Mike Wallace

Scored in double figures in PPR formats for 3 consecutive weeks. Colts have allowed 61 completions of 20 yards and 11 over 40 yards. Deep speed is Wallace calling card.

 

Chargers TE Antonio Gates

3rd on team in red zone targets since Week 10. Future Hall of Famer will dazzle us with his play vs. the Jets. Next Stop Canton.

 

Rams K Sam Ficken

Takes over with Greg Zuerlein going on IR. Titans provided enough of a challenge to stall some drives.  

 

Bears Defense

Home vs. the Browns. DeShon Kizer has thrown for 9 TD 19 INT and a 59.3 Passer rating.

 

Bears LB Lamarr Houston

Best known for tearing his ACL celebrating a sack dance, then getting cut by the Bears. Has returned to the Windy City with 4 sacks in his last 3 games.  

Week 10 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Nuggets PF Trey Lyles

4-game week with three road games. Thunder, Wolves, Blazers, Warriors. Lyles is a big that has hit 13 from downtown in his last 4 games.  Also a solid free throw shooter.  Will help with shooting and do enough in the defensive stats meriting the pickup.  The return of Nikola Jokic didn’t cut into Lyles minutes as they shared the floor.  Short term add they should be owned until Paul Millsap returns. Available in 90% of ESPN leagues.

 

Suns SG Isaiah Canaan

15 points 7 assists and 5 boards in his Suns debut.  Injuries are the path to Canaan’s playing time. Daily fantasy owners may want to roll the dice on Canaan while he’s getting minutes. Phoenix is a disaster, but there are fantasy relevant.  Canaan is owned in 1.1% of ESPN leagues. 4-games this week on the road with the Mavericks and Clippers. Then at home with the Grizzlies and Wolves.

 

Jazz C Epke Udoh

4-game this week on the road with the Rockets and Thunder. Returns home for matchups against the Spurs and Thunder. Udoh is a short-term add with Derrick Favors dealing with an eye injury along with being in NBA concussion protocol.  Daily players looking for Blocks and Boards may want to roll with Udoh. Owned in 2.2% of ESPN leagues.  

Week 15 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Eagles QB Nick Foles

Giants have allowed the 2nd most passing yards in all of football. Foles has weapons around him and a solid scheme. Could help owners that lost Wentz or have been playing QB Roulette all season.

 

Packers RB Jamaal Williams

Scored in double digit points in the PPR format in 5 of his last 6 games. Also scored a TD in 3 straight games. Panthers give up just 89.5 yards per game on the ground.  With Aaron Rodgers returning, Williams should still see a solid workload.

 

Packers WR Jordy Nelson

Hasn’t scored a TD since Week 5. Hasn’t had a game over 35 receiving yards with Brett Hundley under center. Those that rode the storm out with Nelson will be rewarded this week.

 

Bonus WR Dede Westbrook

Goes off vs the Texans. Speed kills.

 

Raiders TE Jared Cook

Cowboys allow on average 5 catches and 53 yards per game to opposing TE.

 

49ers K Robbie Gould

9 field goals combined in his last 2 games. 49ers have the semblance of an NFL offense and Gould has reaped the benefits.

 

Vikings Defense

Rebounds in Cincinnati vs. the Bengals banged up offensive line. Big days for Griffin and Hunter off the edge.  

 

Panthers DE Julius Peppers

9.5 sacks this season on a snap count. This Future Hall Of Famer will be amped up  to play his former team and get to A-Rod.  

Week 9 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Hawks PF Ersan Ilyasova

3-games this week on the road with the Cavs, home with the Pistons, followed by a road tilt with the Grizzlies.  Ilyasova is averaging 15 PPG and 3 from downtown in the last 7 days.  Ilyasova is owned in just 13.5% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.  Is a short-term add while running hot.  

Clippers PG Milos Teodosic

Looks to be returning soon.  4-game slate this week at home with the Raptors, followed by 3 on the road with the Magic, Wizards, and Heat. Owned in just 9.6 % of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.  Long term add with a significant role for the Clippers.  The buy low window in trade is close to being gone.  I drafted Milos and stashed him on my IR.

 

Heat PG/SG Tyler Johnson

4-games on the docket on the road with the Grizzlies, home against the Blazers, back to the road vs. the Hornets, followed by a short trip home to take on the Clippers. Johnson has scored in double figures in 5 straight games. Owned in 15.6% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues. Johnson will help owners in 3-point shooting (35%) and Free Throw Percentage (91.5%)   

Week 14 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo

On the road vs. the Texans. Garoppolo made quick decisions and displayed accuracy last week. The Texans have been a disaster vs. the pass since Week 8. Deep league play or DFS worthy.

 

Cowboys RB Alfred Morris

Takes on the G-Men on the road. Big Blue has allowed a league worst 130.7 yards per game on the ground. Ben McAdoo having more time to spend on his Gordon Gekko/ Pat Riley hairdo won’t fix holes in the defense.

 

Browns WR Josh Gordon

11 targets for 4 catches and 85 yards in his return last week. This week faces a Packers defense that has allowed an opponent’s passer rating of 98.2.  Injuries in the secondary won’t help matters for the Packers. I believe Gordon plays a huge role in Cleveland’s first win of the season this week.

 

Bonus

 

49ers WR Marquise Goodwin

Texans have allowed 23 receiving TD this season. Goodwin is a solid flex-play.

 

Jets TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins

The Broncos are 2nd worst in yards allowed to opposing TE. Playing in Denver isn’t what it once was. ASJ will easily outproduce what he has in the last 2 weeks combined. (4 catches 34 yards)

 

Chargers K Travis Coons

Chargers have dazzled me with their play the last 3 weeks scoring 101 points combined.

Redskins are in free fall mode.

 

Patriots Defense

Have intercepted a pass in 8 of 12 games including 5 straight. On the road vs. the Dolphins. Doubtful Jay Cutler ends that streak.

 

Browns LB Joe Schobert

7 games of 10 or more total tackles. Tied for 2nd in the NFL in total tackles with 113.   

 

Week 8 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Magic SG/SF Jonathon Simmons

4-game slate with on the road with the Hornets, home vs. Hawks, against the Nuggets at home, then a road tilt with the Hawks.  In the last 7 days, Simmons is averaging 15.3 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 3.3 RPG, and 36 MPG. Available in 77% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues. Simmons is a short-term play that could pick up steam as season goes along.

 

Knicks SG Courtney Lee

Has scored in double figures in 7 straight games.  Really helps out fantasy teams from the FT line and with steals.  Stats could increase as usage goes up with Hardaway Jr on the shelf.  Available in 60% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.  4-games this week on the road with the Pacers, home with the Grizzlies, back on the road vs. Bulls, ending the week at home with the Hawks.    

 

Clippers PF Montrezl Harrell

This Clippers squad is sadly the most decimated team to injury so far this season.  Blake Griffin is out for possibly 2 months with an MCL Sprain.  Jamir Wilson and Harrell will try take up minutes at PF. Harrell’s skill set doesn’t mesh well with DeAndre Jordan.  The Clippers have a short 2 game week at home with the Wolves and Wizards.  Harrell is a daily play for owners looking for defense stats.  Long term possible stash if DeAndre Jordan gets moved. Jordan has now hired an agent so things could come together quickly.  Harrell is available in 98% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.