Monthly Archives: January 2018

Week 16 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Thunder SG Terrance Ferguson

4-game slate this week on the road vs. the Wizards then the Nuggets followed by home matchups vs. the Pelicans and Lakers.  Ferguson is a speculative add with the long term injury sustained by Andre Roberson.  Ferguson is the most talented out of Alex Abrines and Josh Huestis. Ferguson dropped 24 on the Lakers earlier this month and could help owners with 3-pointers and steals with more minutes.  Owned in just 0.4% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.

 

Bucks C John Henson

The firing of Jason Kidd has brought some clarity to the team’s rotation.  Henson has scored in double figures in 4 straight games.  Owned in 22.3% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.  Alternates between home and road in 4 games this week with the 76ers, Wolves, Knicks, and Nets.  Has a block in 10 consecutive games. Streamer that owners may want to hold onto to see if there’s development with a new Head Coach.

 

Knicks PG Trey Burke

4-game slate this week home with the Nets on the road vs. the Celtics and Bucks then back home with the Hawks. Burke up from the G-League has scored 18 points in back to back games. Jarrett Jack has served as a steady veteran presence while Frank Ntilikina has looked overmatched.  Burke is a deep league streamer that could carve out a role as a bench scorer.  Owned in 1.7% of ESPN fantasy basketball leagues.

Week 15 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Heat SG Wayne Ellington

Shooting 41% from downtown and 82% from the charity stripe. Averaging 14.8 PPG over his last 5 games. Dion Waiters is out for the season, Goran Dragic is banged up and Justice Winslow doesn’t have an NBA offensive repertoire.  Ellington is having a break out stretch at his age 30 season.  Should retain some vale down the stretch for owners looking for 3-point shooting.  Owned in 13.1 % of ESPN fantasy leagues.  3-game slate this week on the road with the Rockets followed by home matchups with the Kings and Hornets.

 

Lakers PG/SG Jordan Clarkson

Has scored 33 and 29 points in his last 2 contests. Clarkson’s production is a direct result of Lonzo Ball and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope being out.  Owned in 45% of ESPN fantasy leagues. The production and usage rate will surely drop once Ball and KCP return.  Clarkson is currently a streamer or DFS play in the short term.  I am picking up Clarkson in preparation of a trade to a better situation.  Wouldn’t surprise me to see Clarkson packaged as a sweetener to move a bad contract.  3-games this week at home with the Celtics followed by road games with the Bulls and Raptors.

 

Nets SG Joe Harris

Streamer option that has scored in double figures in 6 straight games. Shooting 53% from the floor for the month.  Harris is owned in 3.1% of ESPN Fantasy leagues.  3-road games this week vs. the Thunder, Bucks, and T-Wolves.  

2018 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust American League

Baltimore Orioles SP Dylan Bundy

13-9 last season after finally being somewhat healthy.  4-0 with an 11.3 SO/9 in the month of August.  Bundy is a solid bet to take another step forward in 2018.  Middle to end of rotation target for fantasy players.

 

Boston Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers

10 Homers 30 RBI .284/.338/.482 slash rate in last season call up for Red Sox.  Will turn 22 after the season.  This will be the latest or cheapest Devers will be drafted for a very long time.  Keeper league owners should make sure to acquire Devers.  Seasonal owners should go up and get Devers in the middle rounds.  

 

Chicago White Sox RP Joakim Soria

The White Sox are absolutely loaded with prospects already in the majors and down on the farm.  Putting Soria at the end of the bullpen could help build a winning culture, while creating trade value.  If Soria wins the closers job over Nate Jones, could have some early season value.     

 

Cleveland Indians C/1B/3B Francisco Mejia

.293/.349/.447 career slash rate in 5 minor league seasons. If Indians find room in the lineup for Mejia watch out. One of the more interesting names I will track in spring training.  

 

Detroit Tigers 1B Miguel Cabrera

16 homers and 60 RBI last season in 130 games. Yup that happened.  This future HOF’s body broke down last season as Cabrera played thru a myriad of injuries including a back problem.  How much Cabrera is able to play in spring training will dictate if and where I’ll draft him.  At age 35 league leading numbers may not be realistic, but don’t write off Cabrera just yet.

 

Houston Astros 1B Yuli Gurriel

.299 avg. 18 HR 75 RBI last season is a solid value in the middle rounds. The Batting Average may not be repeatable but the power numbers should be in that ballpark.  Just remember there’s a short suspension from the playoffs that starts in 2018.

 

Kansas City Royals DH Jorge Soler

Total bust in 2017 after being acquired from Cubs for Wade Davis. Still just 26 years-old, the Royals have incentive to give Soler a long look.  Playing in Triple A in the PCL Soler blasted 24 homers with a slash rate of .267/.388/.564.  The PCL is known as a hitter’s league, but it provides a glimmer of hope.  Pay attention in spring training as Kansas City could run on Soler Power.  

 

Los Angeles Angels Of Anaheim 3B Zack Cozart

Had a .77 point jump in OBP from 2016 .308 to 2017 .385.  Highly unlikely Cozart repeats that high of a number.  The multiple position eligibility may be worth the regression back to the mean.  

 

Minnesota Twins OF Eddie Rosario

27 homers out of nowhere in 2017.  I lost an opening round playoff matchup because I played CarGo instead of Rosario. Hit 17 homers and 52 RBI in the 2nd half last season.  Numbers are repeatable as his slash rate last season is on par with his minor league track record.  

 

New York Yankees 1B Greg Bird

Availability has been the major problem with Bird.  I’m buying the .2d83/.397/.486 career minor league slash rate. Look at his playoff run last season .364 OBP in ALDS, .464 OBP in the ALCS.  I plan to target Bird with one of my late round picks or late auction dollars. Certainly plan on getting him on all of my teams in 2018.  Hitting in the Yankees lineup Bird has the potential to do damage.  

 

Oakland Athletics OF Stephen Piscotty

http://thebaseballgenius.com/podcast/targeting-piscotty-in-2018/

 

Seattle Mariners OF Dee Gordon

Gordon is expected to play CF and bat leadoff in Seattle.  I put a premium on multiple position eligibility players. The flexibility allows me to take a chance on another prospect or stash a pitcher.  Grab Gordon a round or two earlier than usual to reap the rewards of position eligibility.

 

Tampa Bay Rays 3B Christian Arroyo

Minor league career slash rate of .300/.345/.434 in 5 seasons. Coming back as part of package for Evan Longoria, Arroyo should have a long leash in Tampa.  May have some ups and downs, but worth a late round flier.    

 

Texas Rangers SP Mike Minor

Pitched very well out of the Royals bullpen last season with 17 Holds, 2.55 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.  I believe Jon Daniels is very good at what he does. So if Daniels is willing to give Minor a 3-year-deal worth $28 million, I should be willing to spend a late round pick on him.  

 

Toronto Blue Jays SP Aaron Sanchez

Went 15-2 with a league leading 3.00 ERA in an All-Star campaign in 2016.  Last year was a lost cause in just 8 starts Sanchez went 1-3 with a 4.25 ERA.  Blister problems were a recurring problem.  Sanchez is a stud go up and get him in drafts.  I plan to get him in every league. Major bounceback in 2018.

 

Week 14 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Kings PG De’Aaron Fox

Scored in double figures in 4 of his last 5 games, while during that stretch has a pair of 10 assist games.  A Dynasty league stash, Fox should look to play more minutes as the Kings embrace tanking.  Fox is owned in just 38.3% of ESPN leagues.  3-games this week on the road with the Thunder, home vs. the Jazz, then back to the road with the Grizzlies.  

 

Clippers SF Tyrone Wallace

3 games this week home with the Rockets and Nuggets followed by a road tilt with the Jazz. Wallace has seen 30 or more minutes of 4 of his last 5 games. Has also scored in double figures in 4 of 5 games.  Owned in 5.9% of ESPN leagues. Wallace can be used in the short term with Austin Rivers and Danilo Gallinari out.   

 

Suns PF Dragan Bender

Owned in 7.2 % of ESPN leagues. His short-term run is due to Marquese Chriss missing time. Bender was a very high draft choice and the tanking Suns should look to see what they have in Bender.  DFS players could use Bender this week if Chriss remains out.  Owners looking to fill out their rosters in Dynasty formats may want to pick up Bender.  Plays the Blazers and Nuggets on the road this week.

2018 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust National League

Arizona Diamondbacks RP Archie Bradley

63 appearances 1.73 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.7 SO/9 25 Holds.  Brad Boxberger was brought in and has closing experience.  Bradley has better stuff and should slide into the 9th inning role.  

 

Atlanta Braves SP Luiz Gohara

4.91 ERA with a 9.5 SO/9 in 5 starts last year for the Braves. There’s a bit of a logjam in rotation spots at the time of this post.  Watch in spring training to see if Gohara breaks camp with the Braves.  If not be prepared to track his minor league stats in preparation for a call up.

 

Chicago Cubs OF Kyle Schwarber

30 bombs last season with a batting average that was less than his playing weight last season.  Ill-fated move to leadoff spot compounded matters.  Schwarber will bounce back in a big way in 2018. Should be a target to go after regardless of position eligibility.  

 

Cincinnati Reds SP Luis Castillo

http://thebaseballgenius.com/podcast/all-in-on-reds-sp-luis-castillo/

 

Colorado Rockies 1B Ryan McMahon

Played 1B, 2B, and 3B in Double and Triple A last season.  Slash rate of .355/.403/.583 in 519 plate appearances.  Faces an uphill battle in spring training for playing time.  Could force way into lineup with a hot spring.  McMahon is a potential late round flier in deeper leagues.

 

Dodgers 2B Logan Forsythe

Was a popular mid round target last season with the move from the Rays to the Dodgers.  Burned owners with a .224 avg, but actually posted a career high .351 OBP. In line to start again for the defending NL Champs.  Should provide decent value as a backup infielder in fantasy leagues.

 

Miami Marlins RP Kyle Barraclough

10.4 SO/9, 22 Holds, 3.00 ERA, 1.38 WHIP for the Marlins last season.  I find it hard to believe the cost cutting Marlins will hold onto 38-year-old Brad Ziegler to be their closer for all of 2018.

 

Milwaukee Brewers OF Brett Phillips

.276/.351/.448 slash rate in 87 late season AB for the Crew last season.  Creating playing time for Phillips is something to watch for in spring training. Has a rocket arm in the field and enough range to play CF over Keon Broxton.  I live in Milwaukee, switch should have been made much sooner in 2017.

New York Mets SS Amed Rosario

I love Rosario’s skill set. I tried and failed to acquire him in a dynasty league. Looked overmatched in limited action last season, but I’m banking more on his minor league track record (.291/.336/.405)  I hope to draft him in every league I play based off his speed and OBP.   

 

Philadelphia Phillies SP Aaron Nola

12-11 3.54 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 9.9 SO/9 in 27 starts. Nola has taken his lumps in 60 major league starts. I plan to target him as a pitcher to help fill out my rotation.  I believe Nola takes a step forward in 2018.  

 

Pittsburgh Pirates SP Jameson Taillon

8-7 4.44 ERA 1.481 WHIP in 25 starts in 2017.  Also missed time after winning a bout vs. Testicular cancer.  Taillon is a talented arm with 43 major league appearances.  Pitching coach Ray Searage is one of the best in the business in my opinion.  A healthy Taillon with another year of tutelage from Searage breaks out in 2018.  

 

Padres SP Bryan Mitchell

Acquired in the deal that brought back Chase Headley to San Diego.  Marshall didn’t get a chance to start in a crowded rotation in the Bronx. The Padres are lacking arms in the rotation and Marshall could be worth a late round flier.

 

San Francisco Giants SP Johnny Cueto

Huge bust on rosters last season with 8-8 record, 4.52 ERA, 1.45 WHIP.  At age 32 it’s possible Cueto bounces back in 2018. If he falls far enough in drafts, I’ll gladly take a chance on a rebound.  

 

St. Louis Cardinals 1B Matt Carpenter

Had a .384 OBP despite a .241 avg. I find it hard to believe Carpenter hits .241 again.  Weekly locking league owners may want to drop him down a bit on draft boards due to recurring back problems.  

 

Washington Nationals LF Adam Eaton

Missed most of last season with an ACL tear.  Career .358 OBP should play well batting leadoff for the loaded Nats lineup.  Eaton easily could score 100 runs, steal 20 bags, and bat over .280.  Owners in categories leads should target Eaton more so than points leagues.         

Week 13 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Wizards PF Markieff Morris

4 consecutive games with double figures in rebounds.  Morris has also scored in double figures in 3 straight. Streamer while on his recent hot streak.  Owned in 29.2% of ESPN leagues. Has 3 home games this week with the Jazz, Magic, and Nets.

 

Nets C Jarrett Allen

Has a block in 6 consecutive games. Allen is inconsistent with his minutes and production.  With the Nets playing 4 games this week home with Raptors and Pistons, followed by road tilts with the Hawks, then Wizards.  Worth a streamer for owners looking for blocks and free throw percentage. Could be worth a dynasty league stash. Owned in just 1.4% of ESPN leagues.    

 

Bucks PG Matthew Dellavedova

5 straight games of 5 or more assists. Shoots 39% from downtown. Streamers looking for assists and the possibility of 3’s should look to Dellavedova.  4-games this week on the road with the Pacers, home with the Magic and Warriors, then back on the road vs. the Heat.  Owned in just 1.2 % of ESPN leagues.  

Week 12 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Pistons PG Ish Smith

16 PPG 4 APG 4 RPG during the last 7 days. Smith is a plug and play with Reggie Jackson gone for 6 to 8 weeks with an ankle injury. Owned in 24.5% of ESPN leagues. 3-games on the docket this week on the road with the Heat and Sixers followed by a home tilt vs. the Rockets.

 

Timberwolves PG Tyus Jones

4-game slate this week home with the Lakers, on the road vs. the Nets, on the road with the Celtics, while ending the week at home vs. the Pelicans.  Jones will see more playing time in the shorter term while Jeff Teague is out 2-4 weeks with a knee injury.  Jones has 7 steals and 11 assists combined in his last 2 games. Owned in 12.8% of ESPN leagues.

 

Kings C Willie Cauley-Stein

2 home games on the docket this week vs. the Hornets and Nuggets.  WCS has scored in double figures in 8 of his last 10 games. In the last 7 days WCS is averaging 15.0 PPG and 8.3 RPG.  49.6% ownership in ESPN leagues. WCS is a long term stash as hopefully he as turned the corner.