Monthly Archives: June 2019

Week 13 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Mets 2B/3B/OF Jeff McNeil

.342/.407/.494 slash rate so far this season in 263 plate appearances.  I’m dumbfounded his ownership rates of 60% of ESPN just 53% in Yahoo leagues.  Not a lot of power in McNeil, but with multiple position eligibility makes him a must own.  

Pirates 2B/SS Kevin Newman

.347/.396/.469 slash rate the last 14 days.  Newman was a 19th overall pick in the 2015 draft.  Career minor league .343 OBP in 5 seasons. Owners looking for OBP and don’t need power should look to Newman.  Keeper league players may also want to keep tabs on Newman to see if power develops with more big league plate appearances.     

Rays RP Emilio Pagan

Diego Castillo is now on the IL with shoulder inflammation.  Jose Alvarado is still working his way back from an absence. Pagan has a 1.23 ERA, 0.818 WHIP, and an 11.0 SO/9. Pagan may see save opportunities in the short term, but will still help owners with ratios.      

Week 12 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Rockies 1B/OF Ian Desmond

.357/.409/.631 slash rate the last 28 days.  2 venues Desmond has historically struggled on the docket this week with the Diamondbacks and Dodgers on the road. Owns a career .243 avg. in Arizona and .202 avg. in Los Angeles.  With the recent hot streak I would recommend keeping Desmond in lineups.

Angels RP Hansel Robles

10 Saves for the Halos so far this season. 8.6 SO/9 and 1.050 WHIP will help owners looking for Saves.  Cody Allen was released and Ty Buttrey may be kept in a setup role due to his versatility. Robles seems to have a long enough leash to warrant more ownership.  I picked Robles up in a few leagues to replace Blake Parker in my lineup.

Royals SP/RP Ian Kennedy

34-year-old hurler has successfully made the conversion from starter to reliever.  It took a while for Ned Yost to stand by Kennedy as his man. But Ned is now showing the world he loves him.  The last 4 appearances have gone for Saves. The best way to showcase Kennedy is to have him get outs in the 9th inning.  In 5 June appearances Kennedy has a 16.6 SO/9 and 0.923 WHIP. The reality is at $16.5 million for this season and $16.5 million for next season, Kennedy will be tough to move in a trade.  The Royals will essentially have to pay to make Kennedy go away. Fantasy owners looking for Saves can take advantage of the SP eligibility. I own Kennedy in multiple leagues.

Week 11 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Nationals 2B Brian Dozier
.370/.419/.815 slash rate in the last 14 days. Dozier will miss Giolito in the 2-game series with the White Sox. A matchup with Greinke in the opener on Thursday, but decent matchups the rest of the series. Dozier is worth streaming for owners looking to add power this week.

Tigers OF Christian Stewart
.348/.400/.565 slash rate the last 14 days. Has games on the road with the Royals and at home vs. the Indians this scoring period. Bats mostly in the 2 hole with Nick Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera behind him. There were ups and downs in his minor league track record, but Stewart is currently worth streaming.

Angels SP Griffin Canning
2 starts this week on Monday at home vs. the Dodgers followed by a Saturday road tilt with the Rays. 9.9 SO/9 and 1.017 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Canning has tough matchups with the Dodgers as the leader in baseball with a team .269 avg. vs. right-handed pitchers. The Rays are batting .264 as a team vs. right-handers. Canning with his ratios is worth streaming for the 2 starts.

Burning Roster Spots On Inactives

The draft pick compensation for qualified free agents in Major League Baseball is something I would expect to get changed in the next bargaining agreement.  We’ve seen lesser caliber free agents get signed as in turn clubs forfeit the compensatory pick.  Front office executives have changed the way business is done and have held a hard line in regards to spending and draft choices.  The main reason Dallas Keuchel and Craig Kimbrel didn’t get signed before the MLB draft was due to draft pick compensation.  Other factors could be cost and length of contract, but being tied to draft pick compensation was a dagger.  The fact that they couldn’t get signed with the compensation tag scared me off a bit, maybe the duo isn’t as good as they once were.  Is it possible the league is saying these name brand pitchers aren’t as name brand anymore? 

As a fantasy player I have refused to draft any players that don’t come to spring training at the start.  I watch enough free agents get signed late, fall behind in spring training and stink up the joint.  When both didn’t get signed as spring training was underway, I anticipated Keuchel and Kimbrel would remain unsigned until after the compensation date passed.  Owners that drafted those players lost 9 weeks of production.  Owners that took the plunge could have used other players in those spots to possibly win more games. I looked thru my 4 fantasy baseball leagues to see the records of the teams that own Keuchel, Kimbrel, or both.  The results were all across the board.  I was the latest out of all 4 leagues to pick up Keuchel. I got him on June 2nd.  In every other league both were drafted and held onto. 

League 1 Kimbrel was drafted in the 11th round of a 10-team snake draft in a daily categories league. Hindsight that owner passed German Marquez, Charlie Morton, and Kirby Yates.  Then he doubled up on Keuchel in the 17th round passing on Ken Giles, Alex Colome, and Hyun-Jin Ryu.  Granted no one knew Ryu would break out like this, but how many more wins would he have with a combo of any of those players for 9 weeks.  This owner is in 4th place in the league burning 2 roster spots for 9 weeks. He is a solid player and was comfortable doing such.  He’s made 26 roster moves this season around holing onto those two.  He is a solid player and was comfortable doing such.       

League 2 Kimbrel was selected in the 12th round of a 12 team snake draft in a daily categories league.  Kirby Yates went just after Kimbrel was selected.  Charlie Morton, Madison Bumgarner, and Rick Porcello were selected later that round.  Tyler Glasnow and Luis Castillo were selected in the next round.  He’s lost the Saves category with just Roberto Osuna as a closer.  The commissioner of this league is a good player and currently sits in 6th place.  Keuchel was drafted in 21st round and subsequently dropped a few days later for Matt Strahm.  I was able to pick up him on the Sunday before the MLB draft.  I am currently in 1st place in my division 2nd overall in a tightly contested league.  I’m limited to 3 roster moves each week and 50 for the season.  I’ve made 17 moves so far one of which is Keuchel.  There’s no way I have the record I do with burning a roster spot for Keuchel. 

League 3 is a weekly 10-team dynasty league with an auction draft.  Keuchel and Kimbrel are owned by the same team that sits at a league worst 1-8.  Keuchel cost $2 dollars ($7 next year) and Kimbrel went for $7 dollars ($12 next year).  Gained nothing with those 2 donuts on the roster for 9 weeks.      

League 4 is a weekly 12-team keeper league with an auction draft.  Keuchel went for $5 dollars and is on a 1st place team.  That owner is a Keuchel fan and drafts him every year.  Kimbrel went for $11 dollars and is on a team that has scored more points than anyone else, but is in 6th place with a below .500 record.  That owner hedged his bet with spending big money on Edwin Diaz and Kenley Jansen as well.  In that scoring format Closers with high strikeout rates have a high value.  His hitters are thin and that money could have brought some more firepower to his lineup.  That below .500 record could easily have flipped with Kimbrel’s money spent elsewhere. 

Each scenario for owning Keuchel and Kimbrel is different. It all depends if you have enough depth to cover the donut on your roster for that period.  I just think of all the pickups that I’ve been able to make to help me win games.  Those pickups wouldn’t have happened if I were sitting on either Keuchel or Kimbrel.  For me personally, I don’t recommend sitting on players in fantasy sports.  I would rather have active players at my disposal.