Author Archives: alladamburnett

Week 1 Fantasy Basketball Circle Of Trust

Pacers SF/PF Thaddeus Young

3-game week at home with the Nets, and Blazers followed by a road tilt with the Heat. Young is a horrible free throw shooter, but helps with scoring, boards, and steals. I own Young in Weekly Points league.  Available in nearly 70% of fantasy basketball leagues his ownership is too low. The rebuilding Pacers will rely more on Young this season than fantasy players realize.

 

 

Jazz SG Rodney Hood

3-game week home against the Nuggets, Wolves on road, then back home vs. the Thunder. Hood is owned in only 7 percent of fantasy basketball leagues at the time of this post. Huge opportunity is there to become Jazz leading scorer this season. I was surprised Hood only cost me $1 at the draft.

 

 

Hawks SF Taurean Prince

3 games all on the road with the Mavericks, Hornets, and Nets. Owned in around 2% of fantasy basketball leagues. Prince is a 3 and D type player on a rebuilding Hawks squad. Daily fantasy owners may want to slide Prince into their lineups this week.

Week 6 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Lions QB Matthew Stafford

Throws for 300 yards vs. the Saints on the road. The Saints have allowed a 101.2 opponents passer rating.

 

Saints RB Alvin Kamara

Lions defense allows just 74.6 rushing yards per game. Kamara helped make Adrian Peterson expendable. Kamara is a must start going forward.

Bonus

 

Patriots RB Mike Gillislee

Faces the Jets on the road in a great matchup. The Jets allow 102.6 yards per-game on the ground. Gillislee is a non-factor in the passing game, but should be bounce back this week.

 

Redskins WR Terrelle Pryor Sr.

Coming off the bye at home with the Redskins. I anticipate Pryor being significantly more involved coming off the bye. The window to buy low closes today.

 

Bears TE Zach Miller

Tough road matchup with the Ravens. Miller looks to be Mitch Trubisky’s top target this week.

 

Packers K Mason Crosby

Great kicker, not worried about missed extra points last week.

 

Texans Defense

Highly doubtful they give up 42 points to the Browns at home. Cleveland with Kevin Hogan at the helm shouldn’t present much of a threat.

 

Bears DE Akiem Hicks

High motor player that will get some hits on Joe Flacco.

Fantasy Baseball Bombs

This list of players consists of early and middle round picks that blew a hole in your roster.  There’s a variety of reasons these players under-performed be it injuries, age, diminished skills.  In some cases it ends up being all three.   Just because these players didn’t perform in 2017 doesn’t mean to completely avoid all of them in 2018.  Each player is a case by case scenario.  *Some of these players I plan to target in 2018 because their value in drafts will be cheaper*.

C Jonathan Lucroy Rangers/Rockies
AVG  R   HR   RBI   SB
.265 45   6     40     1

1B Miguel Cabrera Tigers*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  50  16   60     0

2B Logan Forsythe Dodgers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.224  56   6     36     3

2B Jason Kipnis Indians
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.232  43  12    35     6

CI Ian Desmond Rockies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.274  47   7     40    15

SS Addison Russell Cubs*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.239  52  12    43     2

SS Aledmys Diaz Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.259  31   7     20     4

MI Jonathan Villar Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.241  49  11    40    23

3B Maikel Franco Phillies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.230  66  24    76     0

OF Jose Bautista Blue Jays
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.203  92  23    65     6

OF Mark Trumbo Orioles
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.234  79  23    65     1

OF Yoenis Cespedes Mets*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.292  46  17    42     0

OF Stephen Piscotty Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.235  40   9     39     3

Util Ryan Braun Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.268  58  17    52    12

Util Troy Tulowitzki
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  16   7      26    0

SP Noah Syndergaard Mets
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
1-2   34   2.97    1.05

SP Danny Duffy Royals
W-L    K     ERA    WHIP
9-10  130  3.81    1.26

SP David Price Red Sox*
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
6-3   76   3.38    1.19

SP Aaron Sanchez Blue Jays*
W-L    K    ERA    WHIP
1-3    24   4.25    1.72

SP Rick Porcello Red Sox
W-L      K      ERA    WHIP
11-17  181  4.65    1.40

SP Johnny Cueto Giants*
W-L     K      ERA    WHIP
8-8    136    4.52    1.45

RP Mark Melancon Giants
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-2      11  29   4.50    1.43

RP Seung-Hwan Oh Cardinals
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-6     20   54   4.10    1.40

RP Zach Britton Orioles
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
2-1      15  29   2.89    1.53

Week 5 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Texans QB Deshaun Watson
Tough home matchup with the Chiefs, but has turned into a weekly play. Watson is Learning to Fly sooner than I expected.

Vikings RB Latavius Murray
I anticipate Murray to Break Into the Great Wide Open of the Bears defense. Chicago has allowed 4 Rushing TD.

Dolphins WR DeVante Parker
The Waiting on Parker has been the hardest part for fantasy owners. The Titans have allowed 11 TD thru the air this season. Parker finds the end zone this week.

Jets TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Running Down A Dream matchup with the Browns. Cleveland has allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing TE.

Bonus
Chargers TE Hunter Henry
I Won’t Back Down on Henry despite 2 goose eggs. The Giants have allowed the most TD and second most yards to opposing tight ends.

Eagles K Jake Elliott
You Got Lucky with the 61 yarder last week. I anticipate Eagles to be able to move ball against Cardinals, but struggle to get into the end zone.

Eagles Defense
Cardinals QB Carson Palmer has taken the most sacks in the NFL and Palmer looks to be near the End Of The Line.

Raiders LB Cory James
With 22 total tackles combined in the last 2 games, James is telling opponents Don’t Come Around Here No More.

2017 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Wonders

These are players that were more than likely waiver wire pickups. Each one of these players far surpassed their acquisition cost and helped win a lot of fantasy baseball games this season. I won 2 league championships with the help of quite a few of these players. There were so many breakout players this season, it’s tough to pare them all down. Feel free to comment on the ones I missed.

C Mike Zunino Mariners

.251 avg. 25 Dongs 64 RBI

 

1B Cody Bellinger Dodgers

.267 avg. 39 Dongs, 97 RBI, 10 SB

 

2B Scooter Gennett Reds

.295 avg. 27 Dongs 97 RBI

 

SS Paul De Jong Cardinals

.285 avg. 25 Dongs 65 RBI

 

3B Travis Shaw Brewers

.273 avg. 31 Dongs 101 RBI 10 SB

 

MI Didi Gregorious Yankees

.287 avg. 25 Dongs 87 RBI

 

CI Justin Smoak Blue Jays

.270 avg. 38 Dongs 90 RBI

 

OF Tommy Pham Cardinals

.306 avg. 95 R 23 Dongs 73 RBI 25 SB

 

OF Domingo Santana Brewers

.278 avg. 88 R 30 Dongs 85 RBI, 15 SB

 

OF Whit Merrifield Royals

.288 avg. 19 Dongs 78 RBI 34 SB

 

OF Eddie Rosario Twins

.290 avg. 27 Dongs 78 RBI

 

Util Marwin Gonzalez Astros

.303 avg. 23 Dongs 90 RBI eligibility at 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF.

 

Util Chris Taylor Dodgers

.288 avg. 21 Dongs 72 RBI 17 SB eligibility at 3B, SS, 2B, OF

 

SP Luis Severino Yankees

14-6 230 K 2.98 ERA 1.04 WHIP

 

SP Alex Wood Dodgers

16-3 151 K 2.72 ERA 1.06 WHIP

 

SP Ervin Santana Twins

16-8 167 K 3.28 ERA 1.13 WHIP

 

SP Trevor Bauer Indians

17-9 196 K 4.19 ERA 1.37 WHIP

 

SP Jimmy Nelson Brewers

12-6 199 K 3.49 ERA 1.25 WHIP

 

RP Corey Knebel Brewers

1-4 39 SV 11 HD 126 K 1.78 ERA 1.16 WHIP

 

RP Brad Hand Padres

3-4 21 SV 16 HD 104 K 2.16 ERA 0.93 WHIP

 

RP Felipe Rivero Pirates

5-3 21 SV 14 HD 88 K 1.67 ERA 0.89 WHIP

 

P Charlie Morton Astros

14-7 163 K 3.62 ERA 1.19 WHIP

Week 4 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Dolphins QB Jay Cutler

Home matchup with the Saints soft pass defense. New Orleans has allowed an opponent’s passer rating of 109.3 The Dolphins have allowed the worst passer rating in the league at 116.4.  This could be a shootout.

 

Bengals RB Joe Mixon

Faces a Browns defense that has allowed 4 rushing TD thru 3 games. Mixon played well with the training wheels off. I anticipate this to be Mixon’s coming out party.

 

Saints WR Willie Snead

Returns from 3-game suspension to a gravy matchup with the Dolphins. (stats in Cutler writeup).  Worth a flex play.

 

Texans TE Ryan Griffin

Bill O’Brien’s offense does involve the tight ends in the passing game quite a bit. Griffin is a streaming option this week vs. the Titans, who have allowed 7 Passing TD already this season.

 

Texans K Ka’imi Fairbain

 

Bengals Defense

Faces the Browns on the road. Cleveland is -5 in turnover ratio so far this season. DeShon Kizer has shown some flashes, but is still turnover prone. Stream defenses against the Browns until Kizer takes a step forward.

 

Jets Strong Safety Jamal Adams

The Jets allow 133.3 yards per game on the ground. I expect to see a lot of Leonard Fournette smashing thru the Jets 2nd level and Adams having plenty of tackle opportunities.

Week 3 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Redskins QB Kirk Cousins

I believe the Redskins passing attack gets back on track vs. the Raiders in a shootout on Sunday Night Football.

 

Seahawks RB Chris Carson

This 7th round rookie out of Oklahoma State led the team in rushing last week. Thomas Rawls and C.J. Prosise are often injured. Eddie Lacy was a healthy scratch last week. Carson was the Seahawks best RB in training camp. Carson should be the lead back going forward.

 

*Bonus*

 

Bengals RB Joe Mixon

New OC Bill Lazor first priority should be to unleash this talented rookie.  Mixon’s speed and quickness could do some damage against a slower Packers defense. Mixon is worth a flex play to find out.

 

Browns WR Rashard Higgins

Game of the day bad on bad football in a road matchup with the Colts. Kenny Britt has been a nonfactor and Corey Coleman is hurt yet again. Higgins had 11 targets last week and should get plenty of looks this week.

 

Raiders TE Jared Cook

3rd in pecking order of Raiders receiving corps. This is more of a matchup play vs. the Redskins, who have allowed the most yards to Tight Ends this season.

 

Panthers K Graham Gano

Should be busy in a home matchup with the Saints

 

Patriots Defense

Home vs. the Texans. I don’t believe Deshaun Watson in his 3rd NFL game will figure out the Rocket Scientist’s defense.

 

Bengals DE Carlos Dunlap

Yet to get a sack this season, but will this week against the Packers.

2017-18 Fantasy Basketball Breakouts

Atlanta Hawks Forward Taurean Prince

Former 1st rd pick that will get an opportunity to get some run on a rebuilding team.  Averaged 10.7 PPG in final 15 games. 3 and D player could be worth a late round flier.

 

Boston Celtics Shooting Guard Jaylen Brown

Top 3 pick last season will get to spread his wings this season. Shots could be tough to come by with Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward added to the roster. Brown will average significantly more than the 17.2 MPG of last season.  If Danny Ainge refused to trade him and opened up playing time, Jaylen Brown should be on your radar.

 

Brooklyn Nets Forward Caris LeVert

Projections are Nets will start Jeremy Lin and D’Angelo Russell in the backcourt.  Allen Crabbe was acquired this offseason in a trade. Following the money leads you to believe Crabbe will be a starter.  LeVert has significantly more talent than Crabbe and I believe will be the starter at some point.  LeVert is the highest upside stash on the rebuilding Nets.

 

Charlotte Bobcats Center Dwight Howard

Reunites with Steve Clifford in Charlotte.  It’s amazing D12 is only 31 years old.  Last season still averaged 13.5 PPG and 12.7 RPG.  Cody Zeller has 4 years and $54 million dollars coming to him so Howard’s minutes may be scaled back. Howard will kill your teams FT percentage, but last seasons 63.3 FG% certainly is worth rostering.  Howard may slide down draft boards a bit, but isn’t in the discard pile just yet.

 

Chicago Bulls Point Guard Kris Dunn

Looked lost and overmatched in 78 games with the Wolves in his rookie season. The Bulls are in a full rebuild mode led by the questionable duo of John Paxson and Gar Forman.  Dunn has little competition for minutes with Jerian Grant and Cameron Payne.  Usage rate should be fairly high despite playing next to Zach LaVine.  Dunn may hurt your percentages at the start of the season, but is worth patiently rostering.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers Small Forward Jae Crowder

Will help fantasy owners in categories leagues with his percentages.  Shot 40% last season from downtown and 81% from the charity stripe along with averaging a Steal-per-game.

 

Dallas Mavericks Point Guard Dennis Smith Jr.

Many analysts project Smith Jr. to be the Rookie-Of-The-Year.  Fantasy owners should love the opportunity to run the show in Big D.  Go up and get Smith Jr. early in drafts. It’s better to reach for a player and have him breakout on your roster instead of waiting and missing out on the breakout.

 

Denver Nuggets Point Guard/Shooting Guard Jamal Murray

Linked to quite a few trade rumors this offseason. Highlight of last season was winning Rookie Game MVP.  Murray at the helm of the up-tempo Nuggets offense could be fantasy gold.  Shot selection and getting teammates involved are aspects of the game this 2nd year player needs to work on.  Emmanuel Mudiay seems behind Murray in the eyes of the organization at this stage.  Worth it to spend the mid-round pick on Murray. I am strongly considering Murray as my keeper or a player I’ll have listed later on this list.

 

Detroit Pistons Small Forward Stanley Johnson

This 2015 first-round pick was drafted ahead of Justice Winslow, Myles Turner, and Devin Booker.  The Pistons under SVG have a habit of burying their draft choices and not developing them.  At some point that has to change, maybe it does in 2017-18.

Johnson is expected to play more Small Forward this season.  Johnson is worth a late round lottery ticket to see if he breaks thru this season.

 

Golden State Warriors Power Forward Jordan Bell

As a Bulls fan I wasn’t thrilled that GarPax sold Bell at the draft.  Bell has some work to do to crack into the rotation, but could be a player that contributes defensive stats to daily fantasy players.

 

Houston Rockets Center Clint Capela

Glue guy that will shoot a high percentage and grab rebounds.  Last years 64% from the field was stellar the 53% from the charity stripe not so much.  His 23.9 MPG last season should be able to go up a bit, but Nene Hilario will be there to steal some minutes. Capela’s overall value should increase a bit from last season.

 

Indiana Pacers Point Guard Darren Collison

Gets a 2nd tour of duty with the Pacers and returns as a much better 3-point shooter.  Cory Joseph could force this to more of a timeshare.  Categories league Fantasy Owners know what their getting with Collison’s percentages, but a move to Indiana could bump him up a bit.

 

Los Angeles Clippers Shooting Guard Austin Rivers

Did average 17.6 PPG and 4.5 APG in an extended run in January.  Rivers has more offensive upside than Patrick Beverley and Milos Teodosic.  Lou Williams will settle in as a Sixth Man.  Disregard the last name and spend a late round pick.

 

Los Angeles Lakers Small Forward Brandon Ingram

Looked overmatched in 79 games last season as a 19 year-old.  Effectiveness and efficiency should improve in Year 2.  Fighting Luol Deng for minutes should be a thing of the past.  Ingram has to grow into his body and is worth a later flier again this season in yearly leagues. Dynasty league owners will view Ingram differently.

 

Memphis Grizzles Power Forward JaMychal Green

Does a little bit of everything for the Grizzles.  Shot 50% from the field, 38% from downtown, and 80% at the charity stripe.  With Zach Randolph gone Green should get more run and provide more numbers for fantasy owners. Not a name brand player yet, but certainly helps fantasy owners.

 

Miami Heat Power Forward James Johnson

Significantly more valuable to categories leagues players due to his ability average a 3pt, STL, and BLK per game off the bench. Johnson averaged a career high 12.8 PPG last season.  After signing a 4-year deal, this under-rated player should be locked into a significant role in Miami.

 

Milwaukee Bucks Power Forward/Center Thon Maker

Showed flashes in his rookie season. Added muscle to his 7’1” frame this offseason. Maker is athletic and has a shooting touch to hit shots from outside. Maker has the makings of a late round flier with upside as a backup big man.  Dynasty league players will want to go after Maker sooner if available.

 

Minnesota Timberwolves Center Gorgui Dieng

10.7 PPG and 7.9 RPG last season.  Dieng playing with more playmakers in the backcourt this season could lead to more easy baskets.  Dieng shot 50% from the field and 81% at the free-throw line last season.  Dieng has more value in daily categories leagues more so than weekly points scoring.

 

New Orleans Pelicans Point Guard/Shooting Guard Jrue Holiday

I’m not fearful of Holiday’s assist totals going down with the addition of Rajon Rondo.  Holiday is the better player at this stage of their careers.  Holiday may also pick up added Shooting Guard eligibility.  Multiple position eligibility is something I consider a premium in fantasy basketball.

 

New York Knicks Center Willy Hernangomez

Solid inside scorer that should get plenty of run in the starting lineup for the rebuilding Knickerbockers.  Averaged 11.4 and 9.2 RPG after the All-Star break.  Fantasy owners should expect to see more scoring from Willy this season.

 

Oklahoma City Thunder Center Steven Adams

In his 4th season Adams set career highs in MPG, PPG, RPG, APG, and SPG.  Adams at age 24 could take another step forward in 2017-18.  Blocked shots are still lower than other Center’s but Adam’s is worth going up for this year.

 

Orlando Magic Shooting Guard Terrence Ross

Field goal attempts and scoring average went up to 12.5 PPG in Orlando.  Ross looks to flourish in his first full season out of Toronto.  With a guaranteed contract in Orlando thru 2018-19 Ross is a piece to build around.  Fantasy owners looking for scoring in the later rounds may want to take a flier on Ross.

 

Philadelphia 76ers Power Forward Ben Simmons

His playing restrictions may be different than Joel Embiid went thru last season.  Simmons can contribute in all categories

 

Phoenix Suns Power Forward Marquese Chriss

I love the upside of Chriss and am strongly considering keeping him over Jamal Murray.  His percentages may hurt, but Chriss is certainly a player to target for his upside.  On a bad Suns team Chriss should be able to provide stats across the board.

 

Portland Trail Blazers Center Jusuf Nurkic

Flourished with 15.2 PPG and 10.4 RPG since moving to Rip City.  Nurkic is a stud on the upswing. Denver got fleeced in that deal. I view Nurkic as a top 7 Center in fantasy basketball, not sure casual fantasy basketball players do.

 

San Antonio Spurs PG Dejounte Murray

Should be able to get serious run with Tony Parker out to start the season. Murray struggled in Summer League and following training camp reports will be key to selecting Murray this season.

 

Sacramento Kings Center Willie Cauley-Stein

Started to turn the corner after DeMarcus Cousins trade. WCS plays a similar style to Clint Capela of the Rockets.  Playing on a rebuilding team the Kings have every reason to see if WCS is a franchise building block.

 

Toronto Raptors Power Forward/ Center Pascal Siakam and Jakob Poetl

Both young bigs have flashed potential in Summer League action. Siakam and Poetl are blocked for minutes by Jonas Valanciunas and Serge Ibaka as training camp approaches. Both are stashes until Valanciunas is moved.

 

Utah Jazz Shooting Guard Rodney Hood

A lot of shots are open with Gordon Hayward in Boston. Ricky Rubio is a pass first point guard which will create a lot of shot opportunities.  Hood looks to be past his knee injury of last season. 2015-16 saw Hood average 14.5 PPG. I would anticipate 17 PPG in this lineup.

 

Washington Wizards Small Forward Kelly Oubre

3rd year pro looks to take another step forward this season. His minutes doubled from Year 1 to Year 2.  Oubre could see even more minutes this season if the Wizards try to play more small ball.

Championship Week Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Diamondbacks OF A.J. Pollock

It’s about time Pollack got hot, better late than never. Pollack has a .391/.417/.739 slash rate in the last 7 days. Pollock has 3 games on the road vs. the Padres and 3 at home with the Marlins. A .455 average in San Diego and .291 at home this season along with recent hot streak means Pollock should be in your lineups this week. Pollock is available in roughly 9 percent of fantasy baseball leagues.

 

A’s 1B/OF Matt Olson

Dongs in 3 consecutive contests. Olson is available in 40 percent of fantasy baseball leagues. Quietly has hit 20 bombs in 188 plate appearances. This week its 3 road games with the Tigers and 3 at home against the Rangers. Olson is hitting .429 vs. the Rangers this season and Detroit is in full on tank mode at this point.  Don’t fear a power outage at home has Olson has hit 11 dongers in Oakland.

 

Diamondbacks SP Zach Godley

A Tuesday road matchup with the Padres this week. The Padres have scored the fewest runs in all of baseball by a wide margin.  Godley has gone 6 or more frames in 4 consecutive starts.  Godley is available 25% of fantasy baseball leagues.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Circle Of Trust

Bucs QB Jameis Winston

Carves up Bears weak secondary with weapons new and old.

 

Bears RB Tarik Cohen

PPR Flex play vs. the Bucs. Cohen is on tape now and opposing defenses will adjust. Jordan Howard and the Bears receivers are banged up, so expect Cohen to be involved in the passing game.

 

Patriots WR Chris Hogan

With Amendola Out, Hogan should be a factor vs. the Saints in a high scoring affair. I doubt Hogan goes for just 1 catch 8 yards again.

 

Eagles TE Zach Ertz

Chiefs defense isn’t the same without Eric Berry manning the middle. Ertz should be able to do some damage.

 

Raiders Kicker Giorgio Tavecchio vs. the Jets.

 

Ravens Defense gets to face DeShon Kizer, who happens to be the 3rd youngest QB to start an opener since the merger. Ravens Defensive Coordinator Dean Pees should be able to disguise some blitzes to get Kizer to turn the ball over.

 

Vikings Defensive End Danielle Hunter

I believe Hunter gets to Big Ben this week.