Category Archives: Baseball

Draft Recap 12-team Daily Categories

 

1. (9) Manny Machado (Bal – 3B,SS)
2. (16) Francisco Lindor (Cle – SS)
3. (33) Freddie Freeman (Atl – 1B)
4. (40) Rougned Odor (Tex – 2B)
5. (57) Christian Yelich (Mia – OF)
6. (64) Wil Myers (SD – 1B,OF)
7. (81) Adam Jones (Bal – OF)
8. (88) Cole Hamels (Tex – SP)
9. (105) Willson Contreras (ChC – C,OF)
10. (112) Danny Duffy (KC – SP,RP)
11. (129) Addison Russell (ChC – SS)
12. (136) Jake Odorizzi (TB – SP)
13. (153) Francisco Rodríguez (Det – RP)
14. (160) David Robertson (CWS – RP)
15. (177) Sean Manaea (Oak – SP)
16. (184) José Peraza (Cin – 2B,SS,OF)
17. (201) Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD – SP)
18. (208) Matt Moore (SF – SP)
19. (225) Sonny Gray (Oak – SP)
20. (232) Héctor Rondón (ChC – RP)
21. (249) Brandon Drury (Ari – 2B,3B,OF)

Draft Recap 12-team Keeper League

FALL GUY STUNTMAN ASOC.
1 Miguel Cabrera, Det 1B  K $39
13 Robinson Cano, Sea 2B  K $35
25 Adam Jones, Bal OF  K $24
37 Roberto Osuna, Tor RP  K $2
49 Michael Fulmer, Det SP  K $2
108 Yoenis Cespedes, NYM OF $13
115 Addison Russell, ChC SS $14
146 Ryon Healy, Oak 3B $2
148 Zack Greinke, Ari SP $9
153 Mike Napoli, Tex 1B $6
173 Jake Odorizzi, TB SP $5
175 Tanner Roark, Wsh SP $8
213 Aledmys Diaz, StL SS $5
223 Evan Gattis, Hou C $5
237 Jose Peraza, Cin SS $6
241 Brandon Drury, Ari 3B $3
242 Hunter Pence, SF OF $2
252 Jason Heyward, ChC OF $1
262 Vince Velasquez, Phi SP $3
263 Koda Glover, Wsh RP $1
270 Greg Holland, Col RP $8
273 Dylan Bundy, Bal SP $1
281 Daniel Hudson, Pit RP $1
289 Jharel Cotton, Oak SP $1
297 Pablo Sandoval, Bos 3B $1
302 Tyler Glasnow, Pit SP $1
307 Fernando Rodney, Ari RP $1

American League Fliers

Orioles Kevin Gausman  Breakout in 2nd half is worth reaching for a bit in upcoming drafts.

Red Sox 3B Pablo Sandoval  Resumed switch hitting, and looks to be in better shape coming into 2017. Kung fu panda will never be confused with Billy Blanks in terms of physical fitness. Young enough that it’s not out of the realm of possibility that he bounces back.

White Sox OF Avisail Garcia  Having a good spring so far, should pencil in as White Sox everyday RF. Post hype sleeper could be a late round lottery ticket.

Indians SP Carlos Carrasco This past season, he posted a 3.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 150/34 K/BB ratio across 146 1/3 innings (25 starts). If he can stay healthy, he offers fantasy upside galore.

Tigers OF Justin Upton  Tied a career high 31 ding dongs despite down year. 5 straight seasons of declining OBP’s with last years bottoming out at .310 OBP. Upton should slide in drafts but not too far. He’s still young enough to adjust.

Astros 3B/1B Yulieski Gurriel  Cuban hitter got his feet wet last season with Astros. Move to 1B full time gives him dual position eligibility. Solid all around hitter.

Royals OF Jorge Soler  25 yr old was never able to put it together in Chicago. A change of scenery and regular playing time could be just what the doctor ordered. Kaufman stadium may run on Soler Power at times this season.

Angels 2B Danny Espinosa  20 plus bombs with 2B/SS eligibility makes Espinosa worth a late pick for those looking for power.

Twins 1B Joe Mauer  Production at this stage doesn’t match the contract as Mauer is one of the most overpaid players in all of baseball. However that shouldn’t matter to fantasy owners. A .363 OBP can be used by all fantasy owners.

Yankees DH Matt Holliday  With OF/1B eligibility Batman will hold more value due to his multiple position eligibility. The plan is for Holliday to serve as the Yankees DH. The time off the field may help Holliday to stay fresh for a full season.

Athletics SP Jharel Cotton  Pitched well late last season after coming over in trade from the Dodgers. Cotton has the stuff to pitch anywhere, but pitching half of his games in Oakland is an added bonus.

Mariners SP Felix Hernandez  Stock is sliding with fantasy owners as his velocity goes down. King Felix knows how to pitch and while maybe no longer a 1st rd pick at some point will be a value pick.

Rays SP Jake Odorizzi  Peripherals last season were terrific, pitched well enough to certainly win more games. On a good club would have won more than 10 games.

Rangers LF Jurickson Profar  Durability has cut short Profar’s career to date. Multiple position eligibility with the hope that he’s finally health may be worth the risk. Remember Profar is only 24 years old.

Blue Jays SP Francisco Liriano  I believe Liriano bounces back pitching in meaningful games in Toronto. Worth a late pick to fill out your rotation.

National League Fliers

Diamondbacks SP Shelby Miller  I highly doubt Miller repeats his 2016 performance of 3-12. Worth a late flier to fill out rotation.

Braves RP Jim Johnson  Bad Clubs win close games. Johnson signed a 2 yr deal for $10 million dollars should be able to provide cheap saves.

Cubs OF Jason Heyward  Looked like he was swinging a hollow bat last season. Played better in the World Series. Come Back Player of the Year for 2017. You’ll see the production the Cubs expected this year. If Heyward slides too far, go up and pounce.

Reds 2B Jose Peraza  Finally gets to have the 2B job to himself with the Brandon Phillips in Atlanta. Peraza is a late round flier that provides speed.

Rockies RP Greg Holland  Velocity looks to have returned in spring training. Holland was a stud before Tommy John and is young enough to be one again. Could provide cheap saves.

Dodgers OF Yasiel Puig  At 26, its time to shit or get off the pot for Puig. Getting demoted and almost traded is multiple slices of humble pie. If he doesn’t get it now, probably never will.

Marlins OF Marcel Ozuna  23 ding-dongs in 2 of the last 3 seasons. Solid choice as an OF 3.

Brewers RP Neftali Feliz  1.14 WHIP last season in 62 games with Pirates. Brew Crew pitchers saved 46 of 69 games last season. Feliz should be a cheap late round flier for those that hold off spending big on Saves.

Mets 3B/SS Jose Reyes  I wouldn’t bet on David Wright leading the club in starts at the hot corner. Reyes with multiple position eligibility will be valuable in daily formats.

Phillies 1B Tommy Joseph  Hit 21 ding dongs last year, possibly hit more in full-time role. Playing everyday should help Joseph provide higher numbers.

Pirates RF Andrew McCutchen  There are a lot of players that would like to have McCutchen’s down season of 2016. Draft slot will slide, but don’t let him fall to far. Never underestimated a pissed off superstar with something to prove.

Padres OF Hunter Renfroe  Should see a lot of at-bats in the heart of the order this season. My pick for Rookie of the Year.

Giants SP Matt Moore  Pitchers park will help Moore keep the ball in the park a bit more. Pitching coach Dave Righetti is one of my favorites. If anyone can get the best out of Moore, it’s Righetti. Making Moore worth the selection.

Cardinals 3B Jedd Gyorko  Hit 30 Bombs last season in a utility role. The OBP was low but Gyorko flashed the power the Padres expected when he was signed to an extension.

Nationals RP Koda Glover Power arm has seen more late inning work this spring. My bet to win the closer’s job in DC.

Which Peralta Shows Up in 2017?

Starting Pitcher Wily Peralta has consistently been inconsistent during his time with the Brewers.  A 42-48 career record 4.18 ERA and 1.415 WHIP show a bottom of the rotation pitcher that club’s would look to upgrade. Flashes of brilliance have taken place in Peralta’s time in the Majors.  Peralta was phenomenal in 2014 going 17-11 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.304 WHIP. How do you explain 2015 and first half of 2016? I believe what happened to Peralta happens to many young players around professional sports. The league gets more tape on you and makes adjustments accordingly. Then Peralta failed to adjust to what the league was doing to him. The first half of 2016 was atrocious 4-7 6.68 ERA, 1.879 WHIP, 5.7 SO/9 in 13 starts.

Making 10 starts at Triple A Colorado Springs helped Peralta get his groove back. The 6.31 ERA at Colorado Springs isn’t pretty, but that’s a hitter’s park.  Coming back to Milwaukee in August, Peralta seemed to have much better command.  A 3-4 2.92 ERA, 1.151 WHIP, 7.4 SO/9 in 10 starts upon his return gives hope for this season.

My eyeball test showed Peralta came back from his demotion with more command and more of a willingness to attack hitters. Early in the season, Peralta didn’t have command and got rocked coming over the plate to get back into the count. The overall numbers in 2016 of 7-11 4.86 ERA, 1.527 WHIP, and 6.6 SO/9 in 23 starts don’t jump out to fantasy owners.

Is it possible Peralta is back to being the pitcher he was in 2014 with a 17-11 record?  Entering his age 28 campaign Peralta could possibly gain sizeable raises in arbitration before reaching free agency in 2020. A rebuilding club like the Brewers can use cost effective pitching. If Peralta takes a step forward this year at the deadline possibly GM David Stearns could flip Peralta for another asset.

I believe its well within the realm of possibility that Peralta’s 2nd half resurgence carries over into 2017.  I plan to spend more time this winter researching 2nd half performances and gambling on those players late in fantasy drafts this season.  Fantasy owners may want to consider a late round flier on Peralta or be prepared to track him as an early waiver wire claim.

Is Felix Still King?

Felix Hernandez had a rough outing in his most recent start vs. the Athletics.  The Mariners ended up winning the game 9-8, but King Felix was knocked around (4 IP 9 H 8 R 4 ER 1 K).  2 errors including one by Hernandez didn’t help matters.  Hernandez in 6 starts is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP with a 29:18 K:BB. Command has been a problem with a 5 and a 6 walk performance already this season.  Finishing off hitters with a wipe away close out pitch has escaped the 6-time All-Star so far as well.  Analysts point to 2 miles per-hour of lost velocity on his fastball and the game plan of pitching backwards by featuring more of his off-speed pitches.  2,299 career innings is a lot of mileage and there’s only so many throws in an arm.  As stuff diminishes so does the margin for error.

Breaking down his performances this year, Hernandez has faced the Rangers, A’s twice, Yankees, Angels, and Royals. Familiarity makes divisional opponents tough.  King Felix owns a career 2.58 ERA vs. the A’s, 3.31 ERA against the Angels, and 3.72 ERA vs. the Rangers.  Oakland is the opponent where King Felix has had his best success 11-3 in Oakland and 22-8 in his career.

As a King Felix fantasy owner, I am not ready to hit the panic button. The results for Hernandez now don’t match the results of his prime.  Last season, Hernandez went 18-9 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.  Not King Felix-like ratios but still solid numbers. The sky is not falling for a pitcher with a 2.21 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 6 starts.  I would anticipate King Felix turning things around pretty soon.  The 2010 AL Cy Young winner has been a pitcher instead of a thrower for his major league career.  I expect King Felix to make the adjustment and in 30-plus starts the numbers should be there.

Fantasy owners that have King Felix should hold pat unless a solid offer is on the table.
Selling short would be a big mistake as better days should be ahead. I own Hernandez in 1 of my 5 leagues, but will try to buy him for 50 cents on the dollar.

Don’t Sell Too Early on These Players

Baseball players have rough patches throughout a 162-game season.  Often times slumps get magnified at the beginning of the season.  I play in 5 fantasy baseball leagues so a number of these slumping players are on my teams. I plan to hold these players in the short term and not sell them low in trade. Actually I’ve acquired a few via trade.  I’m also looking to see if any of these players go on waivers so I can pick them up.

Cubs SS/2B Addison Russell

Was expected to take step forward this season. Still lacks plate discipline. Put more stock in the.301/.377/.520 to minor league rate than the .244 batting avg. so far.

Royals DH Kendrys Morales

.227 avg. 3R 2 HR 7 RBI. Morales career 162 game avg. 24 HR 91 RBI.

White Sox 1B Jose Abreu

.217 avg. 2 HR 5 RBI. Abreu has 100 plus RBI and 30 bombs in each of his major league seasons. With Todd Frazier protecting Abreu in the lineup, number should be on the way soon.

White Sox 3B Todd Frazier

.154 avg. 2 HR 6 RBI.  Toddfather’s slump in the 2nd half seems to have carried over into this season.  Frazier has 162 game avg. of 28 HR and 83 RBI.

Jays SS Troy Tulowitzki

.140 avg. 3 R 2 HR 6 RBI.  New leg kick could be throwing off Tulo a bit.  Health has always been a problem for Tulowitzki.  If your concerned on his health sell Tulowitzki when his numbers rebound.

Braves 1B Freddie Freeman

.167 avg. 5 R 1 HR 4 RBI.  Freeman’s avg and power should get back to normal, but RBI’s are going to be a problem playing for the Braves.

A’s OF Khris Davis

.162 avg. 1 R 0 HR 1 RBI.  Davis’ power numbers may drop moving from Milwaukee to Oakland. His OBP will come around soon.

Indians SP Corey Kluber

0-3, 6.46 ERA 1.42 WHIP. Put more stock into the 19:5 K:BB thru 19 innings than the ERA.

Mets SP Matt Harvey

0-3 5.71 ERA 1.56 WHIP only 9.  Harvey hasn’t gotten out of the 6th inning in any game this season, but is too talented to sell low.

D-backs SP Zack Greinke

0-2 6.75 ERA 1.56 WHIP 15:5 K:BB. pitched much better in latest start. Flu at end of spring training may help to explain things a bit.

Rays SP Chris Archer

0-3 5.87 ERA 1.96 WHIP 23:8 K:BB. Archer throws too many pitches and struggles to pitch deep into games. Allowed only 2 ER in 2 of his 3 starts.

Pirates SP Gerrit Cole

0-2 4.22 ERA 1.22 WHIP 9:4 K:BB.  Cole hasn’t been sharp in his 2 starts this season. In 30 starts a year a pitcher will have a few stinkers.  Cole just happened to have them in his first 2 starts.

Cardinals SP Adam Wainwright

0-2 8.27 ERA 1.90 WHIP 7:9 K:BB.  Owners should be alarmed with Wainwright’s numbers.  Wainwright is the one pitcher on this list that I have the most concern on coming off the Achilles injury.  Owners should keep Wainwright on the bench if they’re concerned about his numbers.

Tracking Trea Turner

The Washington Nationals are off to a hot start with a 9-3 record.  While the Nationals top prospect Shortstop Trea Turner is tearing up Triple-A .368/.467/.526.  It’s not all roses as there’s a glaring hole at Shortstop.  Danny Espinosa has a slash rate of .176/.31/.206 so far this season.  In his 7th season Espinosa owns a career .229 batting average and is a stop-gap option until Turner is ready.  Stephen Drew has been more productive .273/.333/.545 in a third as many plate appearances as Espinosa.  The problem is Drew has lost a lot of range defensively and isn’t physically capable of playing everyday at this stage of his career.   The fact of the matter is production at the major league level closer to below replacement level player than the club should want.

Turner in a 44-game late season audition and spring training showed that plate discipline was a major problem.  Spring Training saw Turner slash .244/.327/.390 which in my opinion justifies getting sent down to Triple-A to start this season.  GM Mike Rizzo and company want to make sure Turner’s development isn’t stunted by bringing him up too early.  The Nationals are correct in giving Turner more time to work on his swing.  Turner’s ability to reach his potential could get stunted by returning to the majors too soon.

Platooning Turner in the majors would be a waste of time in my opinion.  When Turner is eventually called up it should be as the starting shortstop.  Batting 8th in front of the pitcher also should be avoided by Manager Dusty Baker.  Turner should bat with protection in the lineup so he can see better pitches.  I’ve always despised batting young players in front of the pitcher.

Fantasy owners looking to add Turner should receive help in runs, batting average, and steals.  Your league size and construction dictates if Turner should be already owned. I own Turner already in dynasty keeper league dumping Ian Desmond in the process.  In a daily categories league another owner picked up Turner.  Owners where Turner is available should track the situation and be ready to make the move before Turner arrives in DC.

Trading The Hebrew Hammer for Kung Fu Panda?!?

Red Sox 3B Pablo Sandoval is one of the worst free agent signings in baseball in recent memory. “Kung Fu Panda” left the “Kung Fu” in San Francisco with a .245/.292/.366 slash rate last year in Bean Town.  2016 has gotten worse as Travis Shaw won the 3B job out of spring training relegating Sandoval to the bench. A shoulder strain has now pushed Sandoval to the DL.  The salary in 2016 is $17.6 million dollars followed by $17.6 million in 2017, $18.6 million in 2018, and $18.6 million for 2019.  2020 has a $17 million dollar team option with a $5 million dollar buyout that certainly will be paid. With the buyout that $77.4 million dollars remaining paid out to Sandoval.

Flipping Sandoval will certainly require the Red Sox to take on another bad long term contract in return.  In my opinion the Brewers with Ryan Braun are the perfect trade partner for the Red Sox and Sandoval.  Braun has one of the worst contracts in baseball with $96 million dollars remaining. $20 million dollars per year for the 2016, 2017, and 2018 seasons.  $19 million dollars due in 2019 and $17 million dollars due in 2020.  The 2021 season holds a $15 million dollar mutual option and a $4 million dollar buyout.  With the buyout Braun is due $100 million dollars. Braun’s contract is awful because of the club’s situation and his age.  Braun’s skills will have slipped farther by the time the club looks to contend.

Wins-above-replacement player has nothing to do with my position.  Money is the driving factor in proposing this deal.  The Brewers are in a rebuild looking to acquire younger players and cut costs. I have a hard time paying a player $20 million-per-year as the club struggles to win 70 games.  My belief is if a club can finish in last place with expensive talent, they can finish in last place with inexpensive talent as well.

The Red Sox can afford to make the move with David Ortiz and his $16 million dollars coming off the books after this season.  Braun could slot in as an OF or DH for the Red Sox.  The Red Sox are in a win-now mode every season, while the Brewers reside on the other end of the spectrum.  The process started to take place this winter, but a few more moves need to take place to fully rebuild.  Very few clubs around baseball would be willing to take on $100 million dollars.  Braun’s deal makes him tough to move for assets.  Catcher Jonathan Lucroy is a better trade piece to acquire young talent.  The only thing the Brewers would be able to do right now is take on another bad contract in return for Braun.  Saving roughly $23 million dollars long term as your losing anyways may be the best that can be done.  Corner infielders have been a problem for the Brewers and Sandoval fits that role.  The Brewers have plenty of Outfield prospects to eventually fill in that void.

Brewers GM David Stearns shouldn’t be afraid of alienating the fans by moving on from Braun.  The fact of the matter is getting out of Braun’s contract assists in the club’s rebuild.  Braun is on the club’s Mt. Rushmore despite his linkage to PED’s. If the Brewers were remotely close the contending the thought would have never crossed my mind. Sandoval will be younger at the end of his deal and could be moved at a later date if his career rebounds.  “The Round Mound of Pound” has hit well in his career at Miller Park with a .295/.371/.574 rate in 16 games.  Braun will be a tough player to move at age 36.  Other pieces may need to be added to make the deal work. Also no-trade clauses could come into play.  Sometimes you need to think outside of the box in a rebuild, this certainly would be doing that.