Tag Archives: Aaron Sanchez

Week 5 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Royals OF Jorge Soler

2 hits in each of his last 4 games.  Has 3 games on the road with the Red Sox and 4 home vs. the Tigers.  Getting to play everyday and finally being healthy, KC’s offense may run on Solerpower. Owned in 4.4% of ESPN and 4% of Yahoo leagues.

 

Blue Jays SP Aaron Sanchez

Blisters derailed his 2017.  Sanchez has 14 K combined in his last 2 starts. Has career success vs both opponents Twins and Rays in limited action.  I believe Sanchez will continue to round into form as the season progresses. I own Sanchez in 2 of 4 leagues. Owned in 65.8% of ESPN and 76% of Yahoo leagues.  

 

Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas

3-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 5 starts this season. Mikolas has 27 K and 2 BB in 33 innings.  Pitching well enough to be used in a home start vs. the Cubs on Friday. Mikolas is owned in 38.6 % of ESPN and 57% of Yahoo leagues.  

Recapping My 12-Team Auction Draft

12 team Auction Draft with a weekly lock points scoring setup. The scoring in this league is slanted to power hitters. Here’s my draft.  

5 Aaron Judge, NYY OF  K   $2
17 Luis Severino, NYY SP  K   $2
29 Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B  K   $2
41 Lucas Giolito, CWS SP  K   $2
53 Gleyber Torres, NYY SS  K   $1
74 Nolan Arenado, Col 3B   $41
75 Freddie Freeman, Atl 1B   $25
95 Addison Russell, ChC SS   $7
97 Manny Machado, Bal 3B   $31
104 Jason Kipnis, Cle 2B   $4
107 Jon Lester, ChC SP   $8
141 Starling Marte Pit OF   $5
143 Evan Longoria, SF 3B   $6
158 Didi Gregorius, NYY SS   $7
163 Yadier Molina, StL C   $4
173 Tyler Chatwood, ChC SP   $5
174 Miguel Cabrera, Det 1B   $10
188      Luiz Gohara Atl SP $2
197 Aaron Sanchez, Tor SP   $3
200 Cole Hamels, Tex SP   $3
209 Yoan Moncada, CWS 2B   $5
218 Wilson Ramos, TB C   $2
221 Jeurys Familia, NYM RP   $6
224 Stephen Piscotty, Oak OF   $2
225 Jon Gray, Col SP   $3
233 Greg Holland, FA RP   $5
240 Avisail Garcia, CWS OF   $4
257 Matt Harvey, NYM SP   $1

 

I believe I was able to spend big on a few players I really liked due to my cheaper keepers. Arenado was my player regardless of cost.  Machado can play SS, 3B, MI, CI. Eligibility justified whatever cost. I wanted the cheapest player out of Votto, Rizzo, Goldschmidt, and Freeman.  Power throughout my lineup was the goal. The red flags are I bought some older All-Star players that are on the decline in Molina, Longoria, Hamels, Lester, and Cabrera. I do believe their cost justified the purchase. Bouncebacks that will outperform costs are Ramos, Kipnis, Piscotty, Russell, and Sanchez. Rotation has some solid arms with upside that didn’t break the bank.  I feel strongly that I built a good rotation while keeping costs down. My Bullpen will be a work in progress throughout the season, but we get points for Holds. Spent very little for a few lottery tickets in Gohara, and Harvey. I’ll spend a dollar to find out if the Dark Knight rebounds. I’m happy with the depth and upside of my team.  Let me know what you think feel free to leave comments.

My Starting Pitching Targets

Starting Pitching is the most volatile position to draft in fantasy baseball in my opinion. I would rather spend an early draft choice or auction money on hitters since they play more and are less likely to suffer a season-ending injury.  Hitters don’t typically have Tommy John, Rotator Cuff, or Shoulder Labrum surgeries. I play in multiple leagues each season and tend to build up my lineup, then take pitchers on the upswing. Avoiding older pitchers is also a priority because they typically don’t go deep into games. WHIP and SO/9 are the metrics I pay attention to the most.  My viewpoint is based off what I believe they will do this year, not so much what they’ve done in the past. If my pitchers don’t pan out, the eject button is hit quickly for the next hot pickup. These are the pitchers that I will try to draft based off draft slot, auction price, and upside. Some of these pitchers are going to be late round lottery tickets.      

Yu Darvish

Luis Severino

Kyle Hendricks

Jacob deGrom

Aaron Sanchez

Noah Syndergaard

Gerrit Cole

Aaron Nola

Jose Berrios

Jose Quintana

Chase Anderson

Tyler Chatwood

David Price

Luis Castillo

Sonny Gray

Jon Gray

Kenta Maeda

Jameson Taillon

Luke Weaver

Miles Mikolas

Mike Minor

Matt Harvey

Johnny Cueto

Bryan Mitchell

Mike Clevinger

Daniel Mengden

Targeting Pitchers To Fill Out Rotations

Toronto Blue Jays SP Aaron Sanchez

I love him; hope to have him in every league.  Blister problems derailed his 2017.  Led American League with a 3.00 ERA in 2016. I’ll go up and spend a mid-round pick on Sanchez this year.

 

Milwaukee Brewers SP Chase Anderson

12-4 2.74 ERA 1.090 WHIP in 25 starts. Anderson missed time with a side injury.  Living in Milwaukee I’ve watched him warm up before games and long toss in the outfield. Has a very strong arm.  Ratio’s may serve as a career year, but worth a rotation spot in fantasy lineups. Club gave him a 2-yr $11.75 extension early this offseason.

 

Oakland Athletics SP Sean Manaea

12-10 with a 4.37 ERA 1.399 WHIP in 29 starts. A 9.17 ERA in 5 August starts brought down his numbers.  He won 3 games in May, June, and September.  Manaea is a mid-round flier with upside.

 

St. Louis Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas

Couldn’t break thru in 6 minor league seaons/3 Major League seasons in the Padres and Rangers organizations. Went to Japan and found himself.  31-13 with a 2.18 ERA 0.994 WHIP and 8.0 SO/9 in 3 seasons in Japan.  Cardinals gave him a 2-yr deal worth $15.5 million dollars. If the Cardinals are willing to spend money to bring him back to the Majors, He’s worth a late round flier for my fantasy teams.

 

Texas Rangers SP Mike Minor

Jon Daniels was willing to give out a 3-yr deal worth $28 million dollars to a pitcher that was dynamite in relief for the Royals last season.  The plan is for Minor to work as a starter. He did pitch well for the Braves as a starter back in 2013 until shoulder injuries derailed his career.  I’m willing to spend a late round flier on Minor.

 

San Diego Padres SP Bryan Mitchell

Gets a chance to win a rotation spot in San Diego.  Couldn’t break thru in rotation in the Bronx. 9.3 SO/9 in AAA last season. Worth an end of the rotation roll of the dice.

 

Oakland Athletics SP Daniel Mengden

Worth drafting for the Moustache alone. Was acquired by the A’s from the Astros as part of the Scott Kazmir trade in 2015.  Had a 1.54 ERA in 5 late season starts. Pitching in that ballpark is at least a streamer for home matchups.

 

Mets SP Matt Harvey

6.70 ERA and 1.69 WHIP along with a myriad of injuries sum up Harvey’s 2017.  Cubs were reportedly trying to buy low on Harvey in December. Worth a last round lottery ticket in case The Dark Knight returns.  I’ll keep tabs on his velocity in Spring Training.

2018 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust American League

Baltimore Orioles SP Dylan Bundy

13-9 last season after finally being somewhat healthy.  4-0 with an 11.3 SO/9 in the month of August.  Bundy is a solid bet to take another step forward in 2018.  Middle to end of rotation target for fantasy players.

 

Boston Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers

10 Homers 30 RBI .284/.338/.482 slash rate in last season call up for Red Sox.  Will turn 22 after the season.  This will be the latest or cheapest Devers will be drafted for a very long time.  Keeper league owners should make sure to acquire Devers.  Seasonal owners should go up and get Devers in the middle rounds.  

 

Chicago White Sox RP Joakim Soria

The White Sox are absolutely loaded with prospects already in the majors and down on the farm.  Putting Soria at the end of the bullpen could help build a winning culture, while creating trade value.  If Soria wins the closers job over Nate Jones, could have some early season value.     

 

Cleveland Indians C/1B/3B Francisco Mejia

.293/.349/.447 career slash rate in 5 minor league seasons. If Indians find room in the lineup for Mejia watch out. One of the more interesting names I will track in spring training.  

 

Detroit Tigers 1B Miguel Cabrera

16 homers and 60 RBI last season in 130 games. Yup that happened.  This future HOF’s body broke down last season as Cabrera played thru a myriad of injuries including a back problem.  How much Cabrera is able to play in spring training will dictate if and where I’ll draft him.  At age 35 league leading numbers may not be realistic, but don’t write off Cabrera just yet.

 

Houston Astros 1B Yuli Gurriel

.299 avg. 18 HR 75 RBI last season is a solid value in the middle rounds. The Batting Average may not be repeatable but the power numbers should be in that ballpark.  Just remember there’s a short suspension from the playoffs that starts in 2018.

 

Kansas City Royals DH Jorge Soler

Total bust in 2017 after being acquired from Cubs for Wade Davis. Still just 26 years-old, the Royals have incentive to give Soler a long look.  Playing in Triple A in the PCL Soler blasted 24 homers with a slash rate of .267/.388/.564.  The PCL is known as a hitter’s league, but it provides a glimmer of hope.  Pay attention in spring training as Kansas City could run on Soler Power.  

 

Los Angeles Angels Of Anaheim 3B Zack Cozart

Had a .77 point jump in OBP from 2016 .308 to 2017 .385.  Highly unlikely Cozart repeats that high of a number.  The multiple position eligibility may be worth the regression back to the mean.  

 

Minnesota Twins OF Eddie Rosario

27 homers out of nowhere in 2017.  I lost an opening round playoff matchup because I played CarGo instead of Rosario. Hit 17 homers and 52 RBI in the 2nd half last season.  Numbers are repeatable as his slash rate last season is on par with his minor league track record.  

 

New York Yankees 1B Greg Bird

Availability has been the major problem with Bird.  I’m buying the .2d83/.397/.486 career minor league slash rate. Look at his playoff run last season .364 OBP in ALDS, .464 OBP in the ALCS.  I plan to target Bird with one of my late round picks or late auction dollars. Certainly plan on getting him on all of my teams in 2018.  Hitting in the Yankees lineup Bird has the potential to do damage.  

 

Oakland Athletics OF Stephen Piscotty

http://thebaseballgenius.com/podcast/targeting-piscotty-in-2018/

 

Seattle Mariners OF Dee Gordon

Gordon is expected to play CF and bat leadoff in Seattle.  I put a premium on multiple position eligibility players. The flexibility allows me to take a chance on another prospect or stash a pitcher.  Grab Gordon a round or two earlier than usual to reap the rewards of position eligibility.

 

Tampa Bay Rays 3B Christian Arroyo

Minor league career slash rate of .300/.345/.434 in 5 seasons. Coming back as part of package for Evan Longoria, Arroyo should have a long leash in Tampa.  May have some ups and downs, but worth a late round flier.    

 

Texas Rangers SP Mike Minor

Pitched very well out of the Royals bullpen last season with 17 Holds, 2.55 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.  I believe Jon Daniels is very good at what he does. So if Daniels is willing to give Minor a 3-year-deal worth $28 million, I should be willing to spend a late round pick on him.  

 

Toronto Blue Jays SP Aaron Sanchez

Went 15-2 with a league leading 3.00 ERA in an All-Star campaign in 2016.  Last year was a lost cause in just 8 starts Sanchez went 1-3 with a 4.25 ERA.  Blister problems were a recurring problem.  Sanchez is a stud go up and get him in drafts.  I plan to get him in every league. Major bounceback in 2018.

 

Fantasy Baseball Bombs

This list of players consists of early and middle round picks that blew a hole in your roster.  There’s a variety of reasons these players under-performed be it injuries, age, diminished skills.  In some cases it ends up being all three.   Just because these players didn’t perform in 2017 doesn’t mean to completely avoid all of them in 2018.  Each player is a case by case scenario.  *Some of these players I plan to target in 2018 because their value in drafts will be cheaper*.

C Jonathan Lucroy Rangers/Rockies
AVG  R   HR   RBI   SB
.265 45   6     40     1

1B Miguel Cabrera Tigers*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  50  16   60     0

2B Logan Forsythe Dodgers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.224  56   6     36     3

2B Jason Kipnis Indians
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.232  43  12    35     6

CI Ian Desmond Rockies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.274  47   7     40    15

SS Addison Russell Cubs*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.239  52  12    43     2

SS Aledmys Diaz Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.259  31   7     20     4

MI Jonathan Villar Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.241  49  11    40    23

3B Maikel Franco Phillies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.230  66  24    76     0

OF Jose Bautista Blue Jays
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.203  92  23    65     6

OF Mark Trumbo Orioles
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.234  79  23    65     1

OF Yoenis Cespedes Mets*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.292  46  17    42     0

OF Stephen Piscotty Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.235  40   9     39     3

Util Ryan Braun Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.268  58  17    52    12

Util Troy Tulowitzki
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  16   7      26    0

SP Noah Syndergaard Mets
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
1-2   34   2.97    1.05

SP Danny Duffy Royals
W-L    K     ERA    WHIP
9-10  130  3.81    1.26

SP David Price Red Sox*
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
6-3   76   3.38    1.19

SP Aaron Sanchez Blue Jays*
W-L    K    ERA    WHIP
1-3    24   4.25    1.72

SP Rick Porcello Red Sox
W-L      K      ERA    WHIP
11-17  181  4.65    1.40

SP Johnny Cueto Giants*
W-L     K      ERA    WHIP
8-8    136    4.52    1.45

RP Mark Melancon Giants
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-2      11  29   4.50    1.43

RP Seung-Hwan Oh Cardinals
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-6     20   54   4.10    1.40

RP Zach Britton Orioles
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
2-1      15  29   2.89    1.53