Fantasy Football is a year-round hobby for me. The coaching/front office changes, free agency, and draft are all telling signs to help formulate my strategery. I use the OTA’s, minicamps, and training camp to make adjustments to my strategery. Thru my research for this upcoming season, I believe the Jaguars will make the postseason in 2017. The accumulation moves made thru drafting and free agency the last few years will finally come to fruition in 2017.
I plan to grab the Jaguars defense as a late option this season. Don’t be surprised if the Jaguars unit is a valuable commodity for fantasy owners. Fact: The Jaguars ranked 6th in total defense with 321.7 yards per game allowed in 2016. Fact: The Jaguars allowed the 5th fewest passing yards per game at 215.2. Stopping the run and points allowed were their undoing. The unit ranked 19th at 106.4 yards per game on the ground and gave up an average of 25 points- per-game. A slight case could be made the unit gave up so many points due to being put in compromising positions from their turnover-prone QB Blake Bortles. The additions this offseason should help shore up their run defense and cut down on points allowed.
DC Todd Wash has talent at all three levels of his defense. The D-line has run stuffer Abry Jones in the middle along with Malik Jackson and Calais Campbell. Young DE’s Dante Fowler Jr and Yannick Ngakoue provide an awful lot of speed off the edge. Myles Jack takes over for Paul Posluszny in the middle, with Posluszny playing on the strong side. Weak-side linebacker Telvin Smith is a tackling machine playing that excels in run defense. The secondary is led by CB’s Jalen Ramsey and free agent signing A.J. Bouye. Safeties Barry Church and Tashaun Gipson are solid players to round out the back of this defense. Don’t be afraid to spend a draft choice on the Jaguars defense this season. IDP owners already are fully aware of Smith, but should reach up for Jack and Ramsey.
Offensively Tom Coughlin and Doug Marrone want to play more smash mouth football with the drafting of Leonard Fournette and the addition of 3 fullbacks Tommy Bohanan, Marquez Williams, and Tim Cook. I doubt all 3 fullbacks will make the opening roster, but it shows the position will be a competition in camp. LT Brandon Albert doesn’t grade out as a great run-blocker, but Cam Robinson should blow open some lanes at Left Guard. In 2016, the Jaguars offensive line ranked middle of the pack in run blocking. Fournette will not leave the yards on the field that Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon did. Ezekiel Elliott numbers are unrealistic for Fournette, but he should dominate this backfield and be a Top 10 RB.
The receiving corps is solid with Allen Robinson, Marquise Lee, and Allen Hurns. The big question is if Lee can ever stay healthy. Robinson is WR 2 with upside, while I’d spend a late round flier on Lee over Hurns. TE Marcedes Lewis probably won’t put up his career-year numbers of 2010, but will be more involved with Julius Thomas gone. Lewis could be a waiver pickup if this offense uses him as a red zone threat.
QB Blake Bortles is the key to how far the Jaguars will go in 2017. Despite the inconsistent play Bortles had 5 games of 300 yards last season. His TD’s dropped from 35-23 with 19 more passing attempts last season. Bortles worked with Tom House on his mechanics this offseason. The Jaguars plan to run the ball more this season and take the pressure off of Bortles. 2016 saw the league adjusted to Bortles’ success from 2015. Bortles will have to adjust back to the league in 2017 or will have to adjust to being a backup. I view Bortles as a QB2 with upside and plan on targeting him late in drafts.
The upgraded front office with Tom Coughlin in charge will help mold the organization’s young talent in the right direction. I believe the AFC South will feel the Wrath Of Khan in 2017 and see the Jags playing in the postseason for the first time since 2007.