These are my keepers for a 10-team 5×5 daily categories league. The auction budget is $260 with 23 total roster spots 5 of which are bench spots. The 7 keepers eat up $122 dollars of budget giving me $ 138 dollars to spend on 16 players. These are the 7 players I’m keeping based off their costs and what I perceive as upside. WHIP, K, Speed, and Batting Avg are the categories to build around.
($36) for Madison Bumgarner is a little more than I wanted to spend, but I figured his draft cost would be close to that anyways in this league. Bumgarner is the most expensive starting pitcher kept in the league. Bumgarner has 6 straight seasons of 190 plus K including 251 last season. The career high of 226.2 innings doesn’t both me too much. If I’m going to spend a lot on a pitcher it’s going to be Mad Bum. ($20) Gerrit Cole is a value in my opinion since I believe he will bounce back this season. I’m willing to gamble that the 2015 Cole with 19 wins, 202 K, and 1.09 WHIP returns. ($19) Carlos Martinez putting together a Cy Young caliber season is my prediction. At age 25 Martinez should continue to come into his own. The 1.22 WHIP could drop into the 1.10’s this year. ($11) Carlos Carrasco had a 9.2 SO/9 and a 1.148 WHIP last season. Carrasco has dominating stuff and pitches for the defending AL Champions. I doubt I could get Carrasco at that price if he was part of the draft.
Hitters I’ve decided to keep are based off value, versatility, and speed. ($16) JD Martinez would be unrealistic in a redraft scenario at that price. Martinez has been a different player since coming to Detroit. I expect the high OBP and power numbers to continue. ($11) Ian Desmond will provide 1B/OF eligibility while playing in the launching pad that is Colorado. 20 plus steals along with more expected power numbers playing in Colorado is worth the cost. Steals from the 1B position are tough to find. Only 3 1B eligible players had double digit steals last year. (Goldschmidt 32, Myers 28, Gonzalez 12). My biggest gamble is ($14) Billy Hamilton. Is the 41-point jump in OBP from 2015 to 2016 a sign of progression? The 2nd half numbers of a .293 avg and .369 OBP have me willing to gamble that Hamilton may have turned the corner.
The keeper costs are too expensive for ($27) Wade Davis, ($25) Craig Kimbrel, ($24) Adam Wainwright, ($20) Zach Britton, ($20) Mark Melancon, (12) Marcus Stroman, and ($9) Tony Watson. Hitters I’ve deemed too expensive are ($26) Jonathan Lucroy, ($24) Todd Frazier, ($16) Evan Longoria, ($16) Adrian Gonzalez, ($16) Jason Kipnis, ($14) Byron Buxton, ($6) Brad Miller.
Since I can’t attend this draft due to work, I’ve instructed my friend on which players to target. My rotation features younger power arms with high strikeout rates and low WHIP’s. My strategy this year is to watch my team WHIP like a hawk. Kyle Hendricks will be a priority add to this roster. A late auction flier will be Jharel Cotton. The league as a whole didn’t keep too many closers so filling out the bullpen is possible without going nuts on costs.
Pairing Starling Marte with Hamilton would give me 2 elite speed options. Dee Gordon is another elite speed option to pair with Hamilton if Marte’s cost is ridiculous. Odubel Herrera will be a fall back option depending on costs. Doubling down on elite speed is important. All of the big name power hitters were put back into the player pool due to high keeper costs. Filling out the roster with power hitters and multiple position eligibility is the goal. Feel free to comment on my keepers or lack there of.