Tag Archives: jason kipnis

Week 1 Fantasy Baseball Circle Of Trust

Indians 2B Jason Kipnis

Career numbers in Seattle(.235) and Anaheim (.167) could be cause for concern, however Kipnis has been on fire this spring. Spring slash rate of .375/.434/.833 shows that Kipnis may actually be healthy entering this season.  Owned in 57.1% of ESPN leagues.

 

Giants 3B Evan Longoria

Slash rate of .371/.450/.993 so far this spring. In the drafts I’ve done so far Evan Almighty has been viewed as an afterthought.  I got him late in a draft for $6. Isolated power went down last season, but I think Longoria can still provide solid numbers going back to Cali. Owned in 89.1% of ESPN leagues. 

 

Cubs SP Jon Lester

Was able to draft Lester in a pair of auctions for $8. I find it hard to believe the veteran lefty has a 4.33 ERA again in 2018.  Average velocities dropped down in 2017, but Lester will provide a lot of value in his age 34 season. Don’t be afraid to use Lester in your lineup vs. the Marlins.  Owned in 96.6% of ESPN leagues.   

Recapping My 12-Team Auction Draft

12 team Auction Draft with a weekly lock points scoring setup. The scoring in this league is slanted to power hitters. Here’s my draft.  

5 Aaron Judge, NYY OF  K   $2
17 Luis Severino, NYY SP  K   $2
29 Rhys Hoskins, Phi 1B  K   $2
41 Lucas Giolito, CWS SP  K   $2
53 Gleyber Torres, NYY SS  K   $1
74 Nolan Arenado, Col 3B   $41
75 Freddie Freeman, Atl 1B   $25
95 Addison Russell, ChC SS   $7
97 Manny Machado, Bal 3B   $31
104 Jason Kipnis, Cle 2B   $4
107 Jon Lester, ChC SP   $8
141 Starling Marte Pit OF   $5
143 Evan Longoria, SF 3B   $6
158 Didi Gregorius, NYY SS   $7
163 Yadier Molina, StL C   $4
173 Tyler Chatwood, ChC SP   $5
174 Miguel Cabrera, Det 1B   $10
188      Luiz Gohara Atl SP $2
197 Aaron Sanchez, Tor SP   $3
200 Cole Hamels, Tex SP   $3
209 Yoan Moncada, CWS 2B   $5
218 Wilson Ramos, TB C   $2
221 Jeurys Familia, NYM RP   $6
224 Stephen Piscotty, Oak OF   $2
225 Jon Gray, Col SP   $3
233 Greg Holland, FA RP   $5
240 Avisail Garcia, CWS OF   $4
257 Matt Harvey, NYM SP   $1

 

I believe I was able to spend big on a few players I really liked due to my cheaper keepers. Arenado was my player regardless of cost.  Machado can play SS, 3B, MI, CI. Eligibility justified whatever cost. I wanted the cheapest player out of Votto, Rizzo, Goldschmidt, and Freeman.  Power throughout my lineup was the goal. The red flags are I bought some older All-Star players that are on the decline in Molina, Longoria, Hamels, Lester, and Cabrera. I do believe their cost justified the purchase. Bouncebacks that will outperform costs are Ramos, Kipnis, Piscotty, Russell, and Sanchez. Rotation has some solid arms with upside that didn’t break the bank.  I feel strongly that I built a good rotation while keeping costs down. My Bullpen will be a work in progress throughout the season, but we get points for Holds. Spent very little for a few lottery tickets in Gohara, and Harvey. I’ll spend a dollar to find out if the Dark Knight rebounds. I’m happy with the depth and upside of my team.  Let me know what you think feel free to leave comments.

Kipnis To Rebound in 2018

Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is one of  my favorite bounce back candidates to target in upcoming drafts.  Last season the wheels fell off for Kipnis to the tune of a .232./.291/.414 slash rate.  A .581 slugging percentage vs. the Cubs in the 2016 World Series may have led to Kipnis to being a bit overdrafted by owners in 2017.  Owners that took the plunge were disappointed in their return .232/.291/.414. Kipnis season was delayed by a right rotator cuff strain, then hamstring problems limited him to 90 games.  His 5 consecutive seasons of double digit stolen bases was snapped. One stat that jumps out from 2017 is his 44% fly ball rate went up from 37% in 2016 and 28% in 2015.

In the big picture, his career slash rate during 7 seasons is .268/.340/.422.  KIpnis is raking so far this spring with 6 dongs and 12 RBI in 17 plate appearances.  This small sample size shows me that Kipnis may be more comfortable with his swing adjustment to get the ball in the air more and that he is healthy entering the season.  With the logjam of talent on the Tribe last season, Kipnis moved around the diamond appearing in 11 games as an outfielder. ESPN still lists him as just a 2B, while Yahoo gives him dual position eligibility.   

Kipnis is much higher in my rankings than many analysts. I believe Kipnis can finish as a Top 12 2B this season.  The high teens-low twenties is where I’ve seen Kipnis in preseason rankings. I play in 1 daily league and 2 weekly leagues. I will draft him sooner in the daily league more so than the weekly league in case injuries creep up again.  Even though I have him ranked higher I’ll try to get him as my first 2B taken late or as a high-end backup.  I believe Kipnis could end up being a nice upside pick in 2018. 

Fantasy Baseball Bombs

This list of players consists of early and middle round picks that blew a hole in your roster.  There’s a variety of reasons these players under-performed be it injuries, age, diminished skills.  In some cases it ends up being all three.   Just because these players didn’t perform in 2017 doesn’t mean to completely avoid all of them in 2018.  Each player is a case by case scenario.  *Some of these players I plan to target in 2018 because their value in drafts will be cheaper*.

C Jonathan Lucroy Rangers/Rockies
AVG  R   HR   RBI   SB
.265 45   6     40     1

1B Miguel Cabrera Tigers*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  50  16   60     0

2B Logan Forsythe Dodgers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.224  56   6     36     3

2B Jason Kipnis Indians
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.232  43  12    35     6

CI Ian Desmond Rockies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.274  47   7     40    15

SS Addison Russell Cubs*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.239  52  12    43     2

SS Aledmys Diaz Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.259  31   7     20     4

MI Jonathan Villar Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.241  49  11    40    23

3B Maikel Franco Phillies
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.230  66  24    76     0

OF Jose Bautista Blue Jays
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.203  92  23    65     6

OF Mark Trumbo Orioles
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.234  79  23    65     1

OF Yoenis Cespedes Mets*
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.292  46  17    42     0

OF Stephen Piscotty Cardinals
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.235  40   9     39     3

Util Ryan Braun Brewers
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.268  58  17    52    12

Util Troy Tulowitzki
AVG   R   HR   RBI   SB
.249  16   7      26    0

SP Noah Syndergaard Mets
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
1-2   34   2.97    1.05

SP Danny Duffy Royals
W-L    K     ERA    WHIP
9-10  130  3.81    1.26

SP David Price Red Sox*
W-L   K    ERA    WHIP
6-3   76   3.38    1.19

SP Aaron Sanchez Blue Jays*
W-L    K    ERA    WHIP
1-3    24   4.25    1.72

SP Rick Porcello Red Sox
W-L      K      ERA    WHIP
11-17  181  4.65    1.40

SP Johnny Cueto Giants*
W-L     K      ERA    WHIP
8-8    136    4.52    1.45

RP Mark Melancon Giants
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-2      11  29   4.50    1.43

RP Seung-Hwan Oh Cardinals
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
1-6     20   54   4.10    1.40

RP Zach Britton Orioles
W-L    SV    K    ERA    WHIP
2-1      15  29   2.89    1.53

Keeper League Strategarization

Self scouting is important in fantasy sports for many reasons. It gives a direct idea of what was done right and what was done wrong.  The “Why” answers are the most important of all. Last season I had a categories league team that was one of the worst in the league. My starters had to high of a WHIP, while my hitters struggled to hit for average and power.  I spent time this off-season trying to figure out why my team sucked and what I needed to do for this upcoming season.  In the league we have 260 dollars of draft money with player costs going up 5 dollars each season.

I decided to keep $10 Adrian Gonzalez, $6 Jason Kipnis, $6 Evan Longoria, $6 Maikel Franco, and $11 George Springer.  I had a low team batting average and lacked power last season. Gone from the team are Carlos Santana, Jose Reyes, Gregory Polanco, Wil Myers, and Randall Grichuk. My keepers will provide some Power and Speed.  I will need to balance out my roster with some guys with a high batting average and steals.  I like Polanco, but at the keeper price which would have been $13, to me that was too much.

Pitching wise I decided not to keep any of my relievers. Mark Melancon’s strikeout rate has decreased and the keeper price was too high. Cody Allen was too expensive as well. I wanted to lock down my rotation with solid arms with high strikeout rates and upside.  $19 Gerrit Cole is worth every penny as a lock down ace. Chris Archer at $14 is a number I am comfortable with due to his upside. I’m a believer Archer is more of the pitcher than he was in the first half than after the All-Star break.  $16 Taijuan Walker is a gamble, but I’m willing to bet big on that arm.  Jeff Samardzija for $6 is a risk worth taking. I’m a believer in Brian Sabean and the Giants way of evaluating players.   44 starting pitchers were kept this season in the league so I planned to get my share.

My keepers add up to 94 dollars leaving me 166 dollars to fill out my roster. I need a catcher, middle infielders, outfielders, closers, and starting pitchers with upside. The plan is to pick a few players out the player pool I want at any cost and go from there.  Upside and stashing a few prospects until they come up to the Majors will fill out my roster.  Since some of the guys I play against read my site, those players will get discussed after the draft.