Starting Pitching is the most volatile position to draft in fantasy baseball in my opinion. I would rather spend an early draft choice or auction money on hitters since they play more and are less likely to suffer a season-ending injury. Hitters don’t typically have Tommy John, Rotator Cuff, or Shoulder Labrum surgeries. I play in multiple leagues each season and tend to build up my lineup, then take pitchers on the upswing. Avoiding older pitchers is also a priority because they typically don’t go deep into games. WHIP and SO/9 are the metrics I pay attention to the most. My viewpoint is based off what I believe they will do this year, not so much what they’ve done in the past. If my pitchers don’t pan out, the eject button is hit quickly for the next hot pickup. These are the pitchers that I will try to draft based off draft slot, auction price, and upside. Some of these pitchers are going to be late round lottery tickets.
Returns July 18th from 80-game PED suspension. Marte’s power speed combo should help owners down the stretch run. I was able to snag Marte in 2 of my 5 leagues. Available in nearly 30% of fantasy baseball leagues.
Cubs C/OF Kyle Schwarber
This week Schwarber will blast off. High Team ERA’s vs. Lefties for the Orioles 4.95, Braves 4.48, and Cardinals 4.64) The Cardinals have allowed the 3rd most home runs to left-handed batters with 57. I was able to pick Schwarber up in 1 of my 5 fantasy leagues and quickly rejected a trade offer. This C/OF is available in 16% of fantasy baseball leagues.
Cubs SP Jose Quintana
Moving to a better club in the same city should help Quintana make the adjustment to getting traded. Quintana is available in 14% of leagues and should be a high claim in NL Only leagues.
The Chicago White Sox are one of the most interesting clubs this offseason. Coming off a disappointing 78-4 finish, which featured a 17-8 start in April, the White Sox are a club at a crossroads. The club added new Manager Rick Renteria to replace Robin Ventura. The club could try to piece to their core of veterans to contend for 2017. The better option in my opinion is to blow up this whole roster and acquire as many assets as possible. Starting Pitcher Chris Sale has been linked to the Nationals, Astros, and Braves. A perennial Cy Young candidate should be able to bring in major league ready players in return. It takes two to tango however, as we shall see if clubs are willing to give up their top prospects. Whether the Sox could get Trea Turner, Lucas Giolito, Alex Bregman, or Dansby Swanson remains to be seen. GM Rick Hahn should be holding out for a franchise building block in return in any package. The time may come later this winter where lower level prospects with upside may be the route the acquiring clubs would be willing to go.
The White Sox are a viable option because they have assets to move as this is weak free agent class in 2017. Take into account some of the contracts already signed this winter and compare those to players available in a trade. Rich Hill signed a 3-year-deal worth $48 million dollars. The soon to be 37-year-old southpaw has 610.1 career innings and is getting paid for finding the fountain of youth. While Sale is soon to be 28 and has 3-years of team control at $38 million dollars. Sale has also finished in the Top 6 in AL Cy Young voting each season since 2012. Which player is the better value?
Other players in Chicago could fetch solid returns in trade due to age and team control. None of these players are in the twilight of their careers. Closer David Robertson has 2 years and 25 million dollars left on his deal. Clubs that don’t want to spend on Chapman, Jansen, and Melancon could pursue Robertson, who turns 32 next season. Melancon signed a 4-years $62 million dollar deal with the Giants. Roberston is nearly the same age as Melancon on a shorter deal. SP Jose Quintana has 4-years and $37.85 million dollars remaining on his deal. Quintana is a soon to be 28-year-old middle of rotation arm with a career ERA of 3.41 and 1.242 WHIP. 3B Todd Frazier has 2 years of arbitration eligibility left and is coming off a year with a career high in HR (40) and RBI (98). Frazier will turn 31 this offseason. Right Fielder Adam Eaton has back to back seasons of a plus .280 avg and .360 OBP. A 28-year-old leadoff hitter under team control of 5-years for $38.4 million dollars could be attractive to clubs. Eaton is a terrific defensive right fielder, not so much in center field. At $15 million on the last year of his deal, Melky Cabrera should still retain value at his age 32 campaign. Cabrera may be an add on in one of the blockbuster deals. An outfielder with a career .286 avg and .337 OBP should retain value.
Rebuilding and contending at the same time is tough to do in sports. The White Sox farm system may have some talent that helps down the road in RHP Carson Fulmer, RHP Spencer Adams, C Zach Collins, RHP Zack Burdi, 3B Trey Michalczewski, and RHP Alec Hanson. GM Rick Hahn has to opportunity to acquire assets to help the White Sox get younger and possibly better. I believe if the White Sox don’t take advantage of this weak free agent class and selloff, it will set the club back longer. After years of trying to contend and failing, its time for the White Sox to go in another direction.