Tag Archives: Ty Montgomery

Early Fantasy Football Musings

I believe Jaguars and Titans will make the Playoffs this season.

Jaguars QB Blake Bortles will rebound this season. Improved front office, coaching, worked with Tom House on Mechanics. More offensive balance with improved running game. Will be a QB 2 with upside.

 

Titans QB Marcus Mariota

With improved weapons and development Mariota will be the QB I target as part of my yearly strategy to be the last team to take my 1st QB, but first to have 2. Eric Decker has double digit TD in 3 of last 5 seasons.

 

Ravens WR Jeremy Maclin should be able to excel in the slot for the Ravens. Baltimore has led the NFL in pass attempts each of the last 2 seasons. Maclin may have lost some burst down the field, but should excel in the slot. WR3 with PPR upside.

 

Danny Woodhead will be the back to own in Baltimore this year. With Pitta’s hip injury, Woodhead will pick up the slack in the short passing game. Terrance West isn’t much of a threat in the backfield and Kenneth Dixon wasn’t impressive last year. Dixon also will serve a 4-game suspension to start the season.

 

I view Saints WR Michael Thomas as a top 5 WR in fantasy football. Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham JR. Michael Thomas, Jordy Nelson.

 

Saints WR Willie Snead has put up solid numbers in back-to-back years. Thomas will be a stud, but Snead will have his numbers go up as well.

 

Rams WR Robert Woods may be a popular WR5 this season. Tavon Austin is what he is and Cooper Kupp will play in the slot. Woods will lead Rams in receptions this year.

 

49ers QB’s will target Pierre Garcon early and often. PPR players will enjoy rostering Garcon more so than standard scoring players.

 

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett dynamic playmaking ability needs to be used more this season. Coming back of broken Fibula and Tibia is something to track. Lockett is an excellent late rd gamble.

 

Packers TE Martellus Bennett set a career-high with 7 TD last season. I believe he easily sets career-high again this season.

 

I’m very torn on where to rank Ty Montgomery. Improved Pass protection could be his key to getting the most playing time. Right now, I’m leaning towards viewing him as a value pick instead of a player to reach up for in drafts.

 

Viewpoints of Kelvin Benjamin have changed dramatically since he came into the league. Went from great red zone threat and value to overweight bust in the eyes of fantasy owners. Its true Benjamin was out of shape last season; I blame the Panthers offense as a whole for falling off instead of blaming just Benjamin. Here’s his numbers.

2014 73 catches 1008 yards 9 TD.

2016 63 catches 941 yards 7 TD.

Don’t be a scorned Benjamin owner that lets him fall far in this year’s drafts. I believe Benjamin will out perform his draft slot.

 

Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey usage is tough to predict. Cam Newton is a runner instead of a check down passer. Switching styles could help Newton stay healthy long term. Would also make McCaffrey much more valuable. The drafting of McCaffrey and Curtis Samuel show a change in offensive philosophy.  Make sure you have solid depth behind McCaffrey if you want to pay the cost to draft him.

 

Browns WR Corey Coleman has had hamstring problems dating back to his freshman year at Baylor. I’m scared to spend a WR-4 pick on him at this point. Coleman unfortunately lacks one crucial ability and that is availability.

 

If I had to choose 1 Patriots RB it would be Mike Gillislee. Had 8 Rushing TD last year. Rex Burkhead will see early down work with Gillislee as well. James White is the pass catching back. Dion Lewis will be a complimentary piece may help in return game.

 

Steelers WR Martavis Bryant has 14 TD in 21 career games played. Coming off a year suspension at age 25, Bryant should still possess elite athleticism. Playing opposite of Antonio Brown, a more mature Bryant should have a field day. I’m using a franchise tag to keep Bryant in my dynasty league.

 

Jets WR Quincy Enunwa may be Captain Garbage Time this season with the Jets expected to be among leagues worst teams.

 

Pay attention to Austin Seferian-Jenkins in training camp. Has cut out alcohol gotten in better shape and this is probably his last shot to have a career. ASJ shouldn’t have to fight for targets in this week receiving corps.

 

Lions RB Ameer Abdullah will be a stand by your man pick for me this season. Abdullah is coming back from Lisfranc surgery last season. With lack of surrounding talent in backfield, I’ll take a mid-to-late gamble on Abdullah one more time.

 

The Vikings backfield looks murky to some, but I’m not fearful of Dalvin Cook getting stuck behind Latavius Murray this season. Murray will be TD dependent again, while Cook should be able to carve out a role in the passing game.  Cook for the round picked will be a better value than Murray this season.

 

Jets RB Matt Forte will get overdrafted based off of name recognition. Bilal Powell is younger and has more burst than Forte at this point. The Jets plan to use a committee at running back this year. Forte sadly could just be a bye week replacement running back at this stage of his career.

 

Bengals RB Joe Mixon will be a top 15 RB this season. Bernard coming off ACL tear and Jeremy Hill is too slow to get more than what is blocked. Go up to get Mixon.

 

Chargers TE Hunter Henry is a top 8 TE in fantasy football. I believe he does serious damage in LA this year. Antonio Gates will play less snaps this year and serve as a compliment to Henry.

 

Chiefs WR Chris Conley will take over for the departed Jeremy Maclin. Has 4.35 speed. Tyreek Hill is the projected Z receiver with Conley taking over the X. Conley is worth a late rd flier.

 

Redskins ILB Zach Brown has an opportunity to take a starting job away from Mason Foster or Will Compton. Buffalo’s run defense stunk last year and Brown was a portion not the entire problem. Could be a LB3 if he wins a starting job.

 

Jaguars ILB Myles Jack is taking over play-calling duties for Paul Posluszny this season. Jack has tremendous upside and should be a target for IDP owners.

 

Dolphins MLB Raekwon McMillan is a player to follow as camps get underway. McMillan was a solid tackler at The Ohio State University. Could be a popular early waiver claim in IDP leagues.

 

Colts ILB Jon Bostic is a player to pay attention to in training camp. Bostic is a former 2nd rd pick that flamed out in Chicago and New England. Colts LB corps is a wide open competition at this point. Sean Spence, Antonio Morrison, Edwin Jackson are also in competition for reps on the inside.

 

Giants MLB B.J. Goodson is another player to track in training camp. The LB corps for the G-Men leaves a lot to be desired. Goodson worked as the starting MLB in OTA’s.

 

Bears SS Quentin Demps was a late bloomer with the Texans. Demps should be able to carry over his production to Chicago due to a lack of play makers around him.

 

I believe Falcons Defense will take a bigger step forward this year based off their young talent gaining experience. Talent will not be impacted negatively by coaching changes. Head Coach Dan Quinn is a defensive guy, draft the Falcons with confidence.

Rookie Late Round Running Backs To Track

The NFL Draft provides plenty of opportunities for over-analysis. I’ll spare you breaking down all the Running Backs selected in this year’s draft. In this piece I’m targeting the late round Running Backs I plan to pay attention to this offseason and in training camp.

Redskins RD 4 pick 114 Samaje Perine Oklahoma.  Serious threat to take starting job from Rob Kelley. Perine is a smasher that is better in the passing game than advertised. I plan to track Perine closely in training camp to see the rep distribution over Kelley. Matt Jones is possibly expendable after drafting Perine. Solid seasonal fantasy league prospect

Chiefs RD 3 pick 86 Kareem Hunt Toledo.  Excelled at Senior Bowl, but fell flat at Combine. Chiefs traded up to draft Hunt.  Solid runner that could steal touches and possibly job from Spencer Ware. This move downgrades Ware a bit on my draft boards. Late round seasonal fantasy league prospect and has significant value in the Dynasty Format.

Colts RD 4 pick 143 Marlon Mack South Florida. Mack is very physically gifted, but Colts coaching staff has a lot of work to do to get Mack ready to contribute. All of the bouncing outside and indecisiveness running inside doesn’t work in the NFL. With polish could be a solid contributor as a rookie. Worth a Dynasty league pick. Training camp reports will be very important in figuring out if and where to draft Mack in seasonal fantasy leagues.

Bucs RD 5 pick 162 Jeremy McNichols Boise State. 3-down back one of few rookie RB’s that is really solid in pass protection. Should provide competition to Martin, Sims, and Rodgers for playing time. Training camp reports may move McNichols for a solid dynasty pick to a solid late round seasonal choice.

Packers Head Coach Mike McCarthy has confirmed that despite drafting 3 running backs, Ty Montgomery is the starter. Late last season Montgomery provided the Packers with a spark in the backfield. We’ll see if the Packers go with more of a committee approach in 2017. Each 4 of these backs presents a different skill set. Camp reports will really dictate how to approach this backfield. If I had to choose today with Rookie RB to draft out of this trio, it would be Jones.

Packers RD 4 pick 134 Jamal Williams BYU.  Inside runner that doesn’t dance. Needs polish in running thru lanes and may not get much more than what is blocked. In Packers offense could be a solid contributor right away.

Packers RD 5 pick 182 Aaron Jones UTEP. Most dynamic out of this trio. Can run inside and has explosive play potential. I like him more than quite a few runners taken earlier in the draft.

Packers RD 7 pick 238 Devante Mays Utah St.  Most physically gifted out of this trio. Ankle injuries derailed his final college season. Mays is a terrific lottery ticket at pick 238. Contributing on special teams would help secure a roster spot. Would like to see if a program with NFL trainers could keep him healthy.

I Would Move On From Lacy

The Packers running game has been hindered the last 2 seasons with the inability of Eddie Lacy to stay healthy or in-shape.  The Packers as a team ran for 106.3 yards per game with a 4.5 avg on 374 attempts for 1,701 yards and 11 TD.  The Packers had 13 runs of over 20 yards with 2 over 40 yards.

The Packers have one of the top 3 QB in the NFL still in his prime. Without Aaron Rodgers last year’s squad doesn’t come remotely close to playing in the NFC Conference Championship. That team should be proud of how far they went. So much pressure is put on Rodgers for the Packers to win a game. More production from the running game in short yardage and goal-line should be one of the top priorities of Ted Thompson and Co. this offseason.  Too many 3rd and short plays end with Rodgers chucking the ball downfield for an incompletion. Green Bay often blows leads because they can’t run the ball to salt away games. The Packers are built around the passing game so pass protection is crucial to playing time for running backs.

Ty Montgomery led the team in rushing with 457 yards a 5.9 ypc and 3 TD. Eddie Lacy carried 71 times for 360 yards for a 5.1 ypc and 0 TD. Aaron Rodgers led the team in rushing TD with 4. Montgomery looked explosive after finally making the position switch to Running Back. Durability concerns for me keep Montgomery as a back that should play a significant part of a rotation instead of a bell cow role.

Lacy the last 2 seasons has disappeared in games with an inconsistent workload. The YPC is manipulated with a lack of carries. Lacy has scored 3 TD in the last 2 seasons and consistently been inconsistent. The ankle surgery was more complicated than originally reported as Lacy revealed. Multiple screws, wires, and a plate were added to his ankle to help with a deltoid ligament injury.  Reportedly Lacy should be ready to go by training camp.

Odds are Lacy will be back in Green Bay on a cheap 1-yr prove it deal. I would look to move on from Lacy completely. Spend that money on your defense or to help keep an offensive lineman. Playing in the NFL is a privilege and Lacy has proven to be out of shape each of the last 2 seasons. As an organization why settle? Your championship window is still open. I’ve dismissed Christine Michael as a contributing NFL Running Back at this stage of his career.

A high priced free agent running back would take away money from filling another need. Adrian Peterson and Latavius Murray may be out of Ted Thompson’s price range.  AP would have to come cheap to play in Green Bay while Murray is looking to break the bank.  A lower cost free agent paired with a mid- to late round pick would be the route I would pursue. Rashad Jennings looks finished, but if there is one veteran running back that I would pursue if released.  The Cowboys are reportedly trying to trade Alfred Morris for a late round pick. Morris doesn’t fit in as a backup to Zeke Elliott because of his inability to play in the passing game. Morris only rushed 69 times last season. With 3 seasons of 1,000 plus yards at age 28 I believe Morris can still play. Morris would give a different look next to Ty Montgomery and leave money to pursue other free agents.

This years draft provides potential backs to upgrade the position.  Young running backs often struggle in pass protection and blitz pickup, that’s where Montgomery comes into play.  LSU’s Leonard Fournette, FSU’s Dalvin Cook, and Christian McCaffrey of Stanford are regarded as the top 3 backs of a deep class.  The Packers may have to trade up quite a bit to get Fournette or Cook. The Packers have other holes and may fill a need on defense instead of drafting McCaffrey that early.

Oklahoma’s Joe Mixon will probably be off some teams draft boards due to character concerns. At some point in this upcoming draft Mixon’s talent will outweigh the character concerns based off the draft slot. I don’t believe the Packers would take a chance on Mixon.  There are a lot of running backs eligible in this draft, but these are the few that I believe would fit draft cost wise for the Packers.

Tennessee RB Alvin Kamara is an all-around back could that make the adjustment quickly to blitz pickup in the NFL.  Kamara is an explosive runner-receiver. The threat of the screen has been missing in Green Bay for years.  Kamara needs improvement in setting up blocks reading lanes. The 4.56 40 yard time doesn’t change my opinion of him. I value game film more so than combine statistics.  Special team’s contributions would help as the Packers returners averaged 19.7 yards per kickoff return and 9.0 yards per punt return. Squeezing out a few more short fields would help the offense.

Oklahoma RB Samaje Perine is a banger that could be paired with Ty Montgomery in short yardage or goal-line situations. Perine would be more of a check down or screen threat than Lacy.  Speed isn’t his game, it’s running thru defenders. Perine avoided workload concerns by splitting time with Mixon in college.

Tarik Cohen of North Carolina A&T is one of the players I plan to follow closely this draft. Cohen is nicknamed “The Human Joystick.”  You can’t teach a player that type of footwork.  I believe many of the knocks on Cohen can be corrected with proper coaching. Lack of special teams experience may also hurt his draft stock.  I’m willing to gamble on coaching up Cohen.

There are plenty of options out there at Running Back if the Packers decide to move on from Eddie Lacy. Free agency and or the draft provide solid options. You now know where I stand on the issue.